June 24, 2017 Churchill Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 7 | Mo Bourbon | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 4 | My Man Kan | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 5 | Nicholas and Me | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 3 | Minegold | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Private Party | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Class Won | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Tarpys Zip | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Chilling Secret | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Nuclear Option | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jimmy D | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Red Alert | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Birdies Honor | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dr Spaulding | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nasty Critter | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | My Macho Mon | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Iz Not Home | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miss You Jo | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 7 | Angaston | 12.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Hello People | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Bold Shot | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bingo Kitten | 1.40 | 2.5 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 3 | Stratocruiser | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Hat of Jacks | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 1 | Copus | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Ellio | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Star Dog | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Gold Hawk | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Card Club | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dance | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Smokin Hot Momma | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Katie’s Reward | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Laudation | 1.80 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Patti Patti Patti | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Road of Honor | 4.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bode On Tap | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | High Tech | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | Its a Journey | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Northern Connect | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Rosie My Rosie | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | C Islandsurprise | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Twirl Girl | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Smelly Cat | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Big Red Seven | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Miss Cobblestone | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Stetson Gold | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Dreamadreamforme | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Distortress | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dulua Kaiu | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Invention | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zipperini | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Slingback | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | I’ve Got Grace | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Skye Sensational | 8.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gemoiselle | 30.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | My Sweet Stella | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | I’mluckysgirl | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gulf Front | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dutch Parrot | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Student Body | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wicked Lick | 1.40 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Daria’s Angel | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Drinks On Broadway | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dreamcall | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Honor Ride | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Harkness | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Miss Vicki | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Soliloquy | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Darlin’issues | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 9 | Curvymissmiller | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | What a Star | 3.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Pearl of the Nile | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | I Remember Mama | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Medaglia | 8.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lifefullofreinbows | 4.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Boomerang Baby | 50.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Kitten’s Gold | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 13 | Dragunov | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 14 | Elitch | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 8 | Producer | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Whole Lotta Luck | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 8 | Ransack | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 1 | Archangel Rose | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Cite | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Nessy | 2.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Southern Wild | 5.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mambo At the Gym | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | War Daddy | 5.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Spectacularxchange | 30.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tobias | 12.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Chicago H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Finley’sluckycharm | 0.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mines and Magic | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 5 | Mayla | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | She Mabee Wild | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Put Da Blame On Me | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Athena | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Improv | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Pleasant Tales | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ivy Bell | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 10 | Stageplay | 15.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Sweetgrass | 10.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kathballu | 8.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Covey Trace | 30.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 8 | Arch Arch Baby | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Soil | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Merry Memories | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mizz Tutu | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Natchez Pass | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | I’m Indy Havin Fun | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Tizthesound | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Crimson Frost | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 7 | My Kinda Devil | 3.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Greely’s Comet | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mother Ginger | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Cape Diva | 30.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.