June 18, 2017 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Halo Ahead |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Lethal Legacy |
6.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Oh Scatty Oh |
2.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Ourroseofthenile |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Lookinforadanger |
4.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Christmas Carol |
4.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
She’s to Blame |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
4 |
Spirit of Shanghai |
4.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
7 |
5 |
Willows Babe |
3.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
9 |
7 |
Paws Up Kaylin |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Naughty Sophie |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
Scr |
2 |
1 |
Venice |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
8 |
6 |
Misty Slew |
10.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Sunny Sweet |
15.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
Scr |
3 |
2 |
We Will Re Joyce |
8.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Derby Tango |
20.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Taman Guard |
3.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
El Huerfano |
2.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Kristo |
5.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Curlin Rules |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Ike Walker |
4.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Candy Promises |
3.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Desert Stormer S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Pretty N Cool |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Bellamentary |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Coniah |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Bendable |
2.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Invested Prospect |
4.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
It’s The Ice (GB) |
5.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Elegant Street |
15.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Kid Charming |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
French Getaway |
2.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Klondike Creek |
1.80 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Goodwood Mirage (IRE) |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Cafe Flavor |
8.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Buster Douglas (BRZ) |
5.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
True Ranger |
6.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Justonetimebaby |
3.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Loud Stalker |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Julia’s Summer |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Dr. Crabby |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Cupid’s Beau |
1.60 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Where’s Bubba |
5.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
5 |
Bookies Luck |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Wildcat Kaos |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
10 |
8 |
Oh Jerry |
20.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Suit of Lights |
5.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Drama Is Overrated |
4.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Lucky Cleric |
15.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
Scr |
8 |
7 |
Push Through |
8.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Stay Glad |
4.50 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
That’s Gold |
20.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Get Em Up Scout |
5.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Handicap)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
9 |
7 |
Liar’s Smoker |
4.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Little Bit Lovely |
6.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Girl Downstairs |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Jennyway U Want It |
20.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
10 |
8 |
Moonless Sky |
4.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Nine Point Nine |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Wealthy Shipman |
4.50 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
Scr |
8 |
8 |
Backintheacademy |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
An Unusual Group |
6.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Warren’s Jen Fizz |
20.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
11 |
9 |
Scatterling (IRE) |
12.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Show Me Da Lute |
5.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Mystery Train (ARG) |
5.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Honor and Courage |
3.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Saint Dermot |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Giant Influence |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Karma King |
6.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Dream Police |
20.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
Scr |
9 |
9 |
Pappou |
12.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Pioneer Lad |
6.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Airlite |
8.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Action Hero |
12.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Boy Howdy |
8.00 |
10.8 |
20-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
10 |
9 |
She’sashocker |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Breathe |
4.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Mag the Mighty |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
12 |
10 |
Robin’s Love |
15.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
True Testament |
4.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Of Note |
30.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Tiz Goldilux |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Christina |
8.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
Scr |
7 |
6 |
Kitty’s Girl |
15.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Creme de La |
6.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Blissful Rose |
12.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Time for Luck |
20.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.