June 18, 2017 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Hemp Hemp Hurray |
3.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Badaboom |
15.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
Scr |
8 |
4 |
Morrison |
5.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
3 |
1 |
Rudy’s Boy |
12.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
4 |
2 |
Fun Prospect |
4.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
3 |
Breakin Daylight |
2.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
No Worries Mate |
10.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Sidd Finch |
8.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Jeter |
15.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Branded Hand |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Battery |
10.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Lucky Lotto |
2.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Our Caravan |
5.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Bug Juice |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Erik the Red |
4.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Chosen One Elijah |
30.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Hold On Momma |
10.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Honor Way |
1.80 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Divine Miss Grey |
5.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Luz Mimi |
3.50 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Jemmabelle |
15.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Asian’s Way |
2.50 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
4 |
Assertive |
3.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Jest a Princess |
5.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Culpa Mia |
5.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Game Factor |
2.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Mizzencat |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Foreign Affair |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
Scr |
8 |
8 |
Eternal Vow |
6.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
Scr |
6 |
3 |
Yabba |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
2 |
Minsky Moment |
1.60 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
10 |
4 |
Follow the Signs |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
St. Patrick Frost |
20.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
11 |
5 |
Red Knight |
15.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
9 |
3 |
Hoboe |
8.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Danza Kuduro |
15.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
Scr |
14 |
8 |
The Pooch |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Appealing Briefs |
5.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
Scr |
12 |
6 |
Zonic |
12.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Run for Boston |
15.00 |
10.5 |
20-1 |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Slewacandy |
15.00 |
10.8 |
20-1 |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
You Like That |
30.00 |
10.8 |
20-1 |
Scr |
8 |
8 |
Millies Party Boy |
20.00 |
12.5 |
24-1 |
Scr |
13 |
7 |
Simmardyer’s Boy |
50.00 |
14 |
26-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Kirby’s Penny |
3.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Your Love |
1.80 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Dawn the Destroyer |
3.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Anna Rae |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Just Got Out |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Spring for More |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Aspen Hilltop |
10.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Cosi Bella |
3.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Battlement (GB) |
10.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Perdona |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Animal Appeal |
2.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Platinum Spark |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Colorful Charades |
4.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Double Dose |
5.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
First Charmer |
12.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Indygita |
12.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Poker S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
5 |
Catapult |
5.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Weekend Hideaway |
1.20 |
2 |
4-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Projected (GB) |
1.20 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Ballagh Rocks |
2.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Night Prowler |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Bolting |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Lubash |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
3 |
Threefiveindia |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Alex the Terror |
20.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Silver Ride |
12.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
7 |
6 |
Hey Jabber Jaw |
20.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Life in Shambles |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Candid Desire |
10.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Ready for Rye |
3.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Street Babe |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
All Star Red |
4.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
7 |
Rapscallion |
3.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
Scr |
14 |
8 |
Match Up |
2.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
5 |
1 |
Full Salute |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
2B |
7 |
Saratoga Wildcat |
3.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
13 |
5 |
Glowing Ember |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Special Selection |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
Scr |
12 |
12 |
Runaway Posse |
4.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
Scr |
3 |
1 |
Tiz a Chance |
6.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
Scr |
9 |
4 |
Southern Union |
30.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
8 |
3 |
On Tap |
8.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Liberal Spin |
20.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
Scr |
10 |
10 |
Natural Order |
10.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
Scr |
6 |
2 |
Street Shark |
15.00 |
12.3 |
23-1 |
|
1A |
6 |
Paid Admission |
5.00 |
12.5 |
24-1 |
|
1 |
3 |
Unbridled Ocean |
5.00 |
13.5 |
26-1 |
Scr |
4 |
2 |
Romans Paradise |
30.00 |
14.5 |
27-1 |
Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.