June 1, 2017 Churchill Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bangle | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Trenton Traveler | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Country Cruse | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | E Nine | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gritter Man | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Red Alert | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Cannonshot | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dr Spaulding | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Dr. Calahan | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Jifquick | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Love Your Humor | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Turn Back Time | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Apocalypse | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Shotenough to Pop | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Azeg | 2.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Eyesonthelady | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tosha Talifero | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hot Yankee | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Run Away’s Sis | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wilhelmina | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Delusional K K | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Love My Life | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Learning Curve | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Star Cross | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bingo Kitten | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Deep Explorer | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | West Village | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mister Maestro | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | I’m Ready to Roll | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Leeloo’s Journey | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tiz Too | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Infinite Midnight | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Nicholas and Me | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Weekend Town | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 1 | Minefield | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Mistake Present | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Doggie Dawg | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 5 | Off Road | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Gentleman Richie | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Street Limit | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Deadly Ruler | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Because It’s Time | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | The Gipper | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hold Me Black | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sir Douglas | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nicky Numbers | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mahalo John | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | K J’s Nobility | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Pontifical | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dawn Raider | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Speed Gracer | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Paddy Not Patty | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Derby Champagne | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sea Rover | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Conquest Mystique | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Zambian | 4.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ingadore | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mo Bourbon | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Uno Mas Brandy | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Tough Stuff | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | First Offer | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vilonia Strong | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Caniform | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 8 | Drago’s Pearl | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Safe Passage | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | How’s My Bud | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 7 | Tarpys Zip | 12.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Prevailing Bets | 5.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Doctor Lee | 15.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Jacob Sings | 15.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Almost Royalty | 30.00 | 14.5 | 27-1 | Scr |
| 15 | 15 | Kentucky Shine | 20.00 | 15 | 28-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 10 | Jon’s Big Purchase | 15.00 | 15.3 | 29-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.