May 27, 2017 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Stormin Stephen |
5.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Spearhead |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Saratoga Mischief |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Lone Trader |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
The Crocheron Kid |
2.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
1A |
7 |
Secured Position |
15.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Dark Roast |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Canarsie Kid |
6.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Refinance |
2.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Terminal Speed |
10.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
High Frequency |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Tanzanite |
3.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Northern |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Britain |
4.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Shoot the Gap |
8.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Nile Gold |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Tizno |
30.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Russian Greek |
6.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Castaway |
3.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Readthebyline |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Motown Sound |
4.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Street Heat |
3.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Ready Dancer |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Erik the Red |
5.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Our Caravan |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Hard Study |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Adulator |
2.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Shuffle Up |
5.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Stormin Monarcho |
3.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Testosterstone |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
11 |
11 |
Duquesne Whistle |
1.80 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Bookman |
8.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Heavy Meddle |
3.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Gehrig |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Shiraz |
2.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Southern Union |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Cause for Surprise |
2.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Hamptons Holiday |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
D’ Eloquent |
6.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Manifest Destiny |
5.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
One Eyed Ray |
15.00 |
10.8 |
20-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Party Mint Star |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Redneck Gold |
15.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Majestic Lassie |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Ditch Em |
20.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Mary Pray for Us |
4.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Double Mane |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Quasney’s Angel |
5.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
My Ekati Cat |
6.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Only One Wish |
20.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
5 |
Battle Joined |
4.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Home Again |
3.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
Scr |
10 |
8 |
Rubilinda |
6.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
11 |
9 |
More Than Treasure |
15.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Game Factor |
3.50 |
5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
9 |
7 |
Vigor |
4.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Now Blessed |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
8 |
6 |
Tapany |
5.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Fear No Evil |
15.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
5 |
3 |
Fleet Week |
8.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
6 |
4 |
Remarqued |
12.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Paradise Creek S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Derek’s Smile |
3.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Big Handsome |
1.60 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Mongo Nation |
5.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Kitten’s Cat |
4.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Line Judge |
2.50 |
5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Have Another |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Harlan’s Harmony |
15.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Small Bear |
12.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Eloquent Riddle |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Roman Ceres |
20.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Bow Town Cat |
10.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Sky Gesture |
4.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Sheplaysthefield |
3.50 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Nocturnal Mission |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Downtown Mama |
6.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Riot Worthy |
8.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
Scr |
9 |
8 |
Spring for More |
30.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
1 |
Elenzee |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
14 |
12 |
Bartleby |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
13 |
11 |
Dab |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
15 |
15 |
Bobby Fab |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
Scr |
3 |
2 |
Cavallotto |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Mr. Massena |
10.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Conquest Falcon |
8.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Pirate’s Treasure |
10.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
Scr |
11 |
10 |
Danza Kuduro |
12.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Ides of Arch |
4.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Dooley |
15.00 |
10.5 |
20-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Hoboe |
15.00 |
11.5 |
22-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Psychic Energy |
5.00 |
11.5 |
22-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Bats Cleanup |
20.00 |
13.8 |
26-1 |
|
16 |
16 |
Kierland |
15.00 |
14.8 |
28-1 |
Scr |
12 |
12 |
Heat Check |
20.00 |
15.8 |
30-1 |
Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.