May 21, 2017 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Britannia Penny |
2.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Rebel Lioness |
20.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Letter Fly |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Another Girl |
2.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Woven Lady |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Geocentric |
8.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
No Soup for You |
6.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Iron Shore |
2.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Concorso |
15.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Butilovesyababe |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Bettin’ Aces |
3.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
York Ranger |
2.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Rebel Music |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Lookingforanewhome |
8.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Red Fever |
2.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Spadina Road |
20.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Cummings Road |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Ultraflame |
2.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Ethanol |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Malbec |
6.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Dash of Dazzle |
8.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Jovial Jess |
5.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Lewnskyswildaffair |
15.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
Scr |
9 |
9 |
Canada Wise Don |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Mojo Rising |
2.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Soul n’ Spirit |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Big Gillette |
2.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Direct Drive |
15.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Showing Sin |
20.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
R Quick Arch |
12.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Best Boy |
20.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Royal Katy |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Hockey Hair |
3.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Monadesanimaux |
20.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Katrina’s Way |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Klassy Delight |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Lady Frances |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Office in the Sky |
4.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Sammy Jo Blue |
8.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Lady Violet M |
6.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Greek Justice |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Lady Marchfield |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Brew by You |
15.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Crumlin Queen |
2.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Sing to Run |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Sam’s Cross |
4.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Triple Chocolate |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Kadley |
10.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Conflation |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
13 |
8 |
Bear’s Profit |
4.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
11 |
7 |
Synthesize |
3.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Arpista |
12.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Battleofburlington |
5.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
Scr |
2 |
1 |
Roxy’s Vision |
4.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Uncatchable Fire |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
Scr |
14 |
9 |
Fortis |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
10 |
6 |
Timingiseverything |
8.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
7 |
4 |
Chill |
15.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Street Gun |
6.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
Scr |
12 |
12 |
No Risk No Reward |
20.00 |
10.5 |
20-1 |
Scr |
5 |
2 |
Ault |
10.00 |
11.5 |
22-1 |
|
8 |
5 |
Forest Brother |
20.00 |
12.3 |
23-1 |
|
6 |
3 |
Dexter Road |
15.00 |
13 |
25-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Selene S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Enstone |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Grizzel (IRE) |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Cindervella |
20.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Sister Nation |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Financial Recovery |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Silhouette |
8.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Ghostly Presence |
6.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Superduper Sky |
15.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Gale Force |
5.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Addictive |
15.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
9 |
5 |
Kasuga |
3.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
8 |
4 |
Skylander Girl |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Silent Treat |
12.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
Scr |
6 |
3 |
Salty Breeze |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
D’oro Paradise |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Run to the Beat |
4.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
Scr |
3 |
2 |
London Tower |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Street Cash |
8.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Industrial Policy |
10.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
4 |
Butler’s Pick |
4.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Daily Brew |
10.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Forest Castle |
15.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Fritzie’s Boy |
10.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
13 |
13 |
Blow Over |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Boys Club |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
Scr |
6 |
5 |
Crushin It |
3.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Incredible Dee |
15.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Amberwood |
6.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Splash With Me |
20.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Ihaveabetteridea |
12.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
|
12 |
11 |
Rocket Plan |
10.00 |
10.8 |
20-1 |
|
11 |
10 |
The Accuser |
12.00 |
10.8 |
20-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.