May 19, 2017 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Incorporate | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Guick | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Our American Star | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | O Captainmycaptain | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Son of Sanibel | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Quai Voltaire | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Algorix | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Vouch for Kitten | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | War Canoe | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Majestic Kindness | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | On the List | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Spring for More | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Preziosa | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Eponymous | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Insta Erma | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ava’s Kitten | 1.40 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ultimate Holiday | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Peru (GB) | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Quality Rocks | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Welcoming | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Skyler’s Lil Cutie | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Summer Sweet | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fashiononthesurge | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Silly Sister | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Frost Wise | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | She’sakittykat | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Splashy Rise | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Awesome Quick | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Dean’s Ticket | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Hoponthebusgus | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Asian’s Way | 1.60 | 4.8 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Banty’s Girl | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Swayed | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bright Side Up | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Double Dose | 2.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Borsa Vento | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Winning Element | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lucullan | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Saraab | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zap Zap Zap | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | California Swing | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Myakka River | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 2 | Divine Miss Grey | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Audrique | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 1 | Clairvoyant Lady | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | She’s Stunning | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 5 | Bigkat and Camille | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Tainted Angel | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | She’s Had Enough | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | On the Fringe | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Puca | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Not Taken | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Guilty Twelve | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Blame It On Me | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chicadoro (GB) | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gotachancetodance | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Holding Aces | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Tu Exageres | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Isofass | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Heated Verdict | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Peppermint Zip | 2.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cuckoo’s Saloon | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bookew Bucks | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Conquest Expresso | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 7 | Margarita Sunrise | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | River Knight | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.