May 16, 2017 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
3 |
World Changer |
5.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Pass the Dice |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Hot Squad |
12.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Gadget Man |
4.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Fleet First |
4.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Lifes Reward |
3.50 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Finding Candy |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Northern Rail |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Uncle James |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Look Me in the Eye |
15.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Thunder Duke |
10.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Hennessy Fire |
5.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Rocky the Kid |
4.50 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Zartax |
3.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
I Wrote the Script |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Eight Da Hardway |
3.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
Scr |
3 |
2 |
Adumato |
2.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
This Might Be |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Return of a Giant |
5.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Discreetly Placed |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
El Potro |
4.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Honorable Service |
10.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Don’t Make It Easy |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Don Lupe |
12.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Far Out West |
2.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Averyon |
12.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
The Catmancan |
3.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Windcries |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Bajan Summer |
5.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
R Power Grid |
4.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Miss Inclusive |
3.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Pinkout |
2.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Kelsocait |
1.60 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Aunt Rose |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Your Pace Or Mine |
4.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Wowwhatabrat |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
8 |
7 |
El Mundo |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Ecliptical Jack |
4.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Come On and Dance |
5.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Former Empire |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Cape May Ferry |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Factor This In |
3.50 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Crushing Powder |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Case the Place |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Cowboy Mz |
5.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Fiery Opal |
2.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Ebo Strong |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Jersey Joe B |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Clear Prosperity |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Midnight Justice |
10.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Thorn Hill Cat |
3.50 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Prince of Ocala |
12.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
3 |
Enterprising Lady |
5.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Flatter Me Zanja |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Line of Best Fit |
3.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Pleasant Mine |
2.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Queena Esther |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
Scr |
3 |
2 |
Bay Rum |
6.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
The Silver Sniper |
8.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Bennie Y Benny |
5.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
In the Beat |
3.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Cast a Doubt |
4.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Instructor Kunu |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
The Morning Guys |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Estrickator |
20.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Hectors Pride |
8.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Surfing U S A |
20.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Trouble With Girls |
6.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Because I’m Happy |
12.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.