May 14, 2017 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Kenjisstorm | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Albert Hall (GB) | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Curlin Road | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Excessive Kid | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Belisarius (IRE) | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Editore (BRZ) | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Picture Tube | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wondering Ways | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Monterey Shale | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sleepin N Cheatin | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blix Curve | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Specimen | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sensational Sea | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Tiz the Light | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Life Force | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Prieta | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Little Jude | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Party Girl | 1.80 | 4.8 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Vegastruck | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tap It All | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Madam Dancealot (IRE) | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Auntjenn | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dreamy Gal (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kenda | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Demigoddess | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Adriatic Son | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ankeny Hill | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Winning Causeway | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pat the Bear | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | London Legacy | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Moments Notiz | 2.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Do Some Magic | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Yodelers Way | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | That Dudes a Lady | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mo’vette | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sherry Cagan | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Blondy’s Reward | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hennessy Storm | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Scatterling (IRE) | 2.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Heartofthetemple | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Yaffe | 4.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Angels Flight S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Selcourt | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Princess Karen | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Faypien | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Noted and Quoted | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Go On Mary | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Queen Laila | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 10 | Success Rate | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Oh Newman | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Where Y’at Joe Joe | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Unusual Fleet | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Skelton Pass | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Hot Market | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Serbian Syclone | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Hay Dude (GB) | 3.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Pound Piece (IRE) | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sudden Sam | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Native Treasure | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Flyin Artie | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lea’s Reward | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Madera Jubilee | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Patience Lady | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Adaptability | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dolce Tempesta | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Double a Kaf A | 50.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cheyenne Dancer | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 8 | Blushing Ann | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Avaudrey | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Riverka | 50.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.