May 13, 2017 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Hollywood Square | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Miracle March | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mor Candy | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Desert Law | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Insubordination | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Candy’s Martini | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Burnie’s On Board | 3.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Western Warrior | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Nap Lajoie | 6.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Atonarun | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Omega Moon | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 98 | Thorpe d’Oro | 0.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Captain Chaos | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Pioneer Lad | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Gold Shot | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Bucky Goldstein | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mr. Twinery | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Taste’s Legend | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Stormy Rocit | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Alley Boss | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | American Pastime | 1.20 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blue Anchor | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Papa Papa Papa | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Supreme Venture | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gutsy Ruler | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Desert Code S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Cistron | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | What’sontheagenda | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Arms Runner | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rebel War | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big League | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Farley | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | City Storm | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Lazaro Barrera S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Kimbear | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | American Anthem | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Taxman’s Quest | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sutton Impact | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Aristocratic | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bobby Abu Dhabi | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Gosofar | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Kings River King | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chatterman | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cheekaboomboom | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stormin Norman | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Unnamed Source | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Humid | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jerry’s Thunder | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Brickhouse | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Patience Ofa Saint | 5.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Big Papi | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Justonetimebaby | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dramatic Angel | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Informality | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zapana’s Game | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Zarqa Star | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | We Go Now | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Magic Taste | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Redneck Crazy | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Tanners Pride | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mizter Kool Cat | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Marvelous Kaos | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cal Cal Li Gowchis | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Boy Rudy | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hedoesitinstyle | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Martini Up | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Canneto Beach | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Head of the Line | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Solitary Dime | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Stylish in Black | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | All That Heat | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Liar’s Smoker | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Eileen’s Girl | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Salsita | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blame It On Alphie | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Backintheacademy | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Arethusa (GB) | 6.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Beware (IRE) | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Special Gal | 5.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Skradin (ARG) | 30.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 98 | Looking At Thelake | 0.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 10 | Shazara | 15.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.