May 13, 2017 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Seat of Honor | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Robbins | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Trek | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Driven West | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Praise the Moon | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Cookie Crisp | 2.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Abilene | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Final Encore | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Tu Exageres | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Town | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Heated Verdict | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 5 | Djulpan | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Le Grand Warrior | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 6 | Peculiar Sensation | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Conquest Expresso | 5.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Bookew Bucks | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 4 | Monte Man | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Magic Holiday | 15.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | One Eyed Ray | 20.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Switzerland | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | D’ambrosio | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Killybegs Captain | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Rock Nation | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wonderful Light | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Blessed Halo | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Javelin | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Peter Pan S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Timeline | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Meantime | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Impressive Edge | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Take Your Guns | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Master Plan | 2.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lookin At Blessing | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Thirtysevenliveson | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 9 | Major Force | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Arch of Honor | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Enasoit | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Arch Contender | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 8 | Helmet Head (IRE) | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sutter’s Mill | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 7 | Max James | 5.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Mister Hayes | 15.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Smokin Hot Factor | 30.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 5 | Mysterio | 20.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
| 1 | 6 | Love and Care | 3.50 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Pontastic | 15.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
| 1A | 10 | There They Go | 3.50 | 12.8 | 24-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Kentucky Chrome | 20.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 | Scr |
| 15 | 11 | Skeet Shot | 12.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Beaugay S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Time and Motion | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dacita (CHI) | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rainha Da Bateria | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Temple City | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | My Sweet Girl | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hawksmoor (IRE) | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | On Leave | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | All in Fun | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dynamax Prime | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Royal Ekati | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Conquest Prankster | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Two Down One to Go | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Can You Diggit | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Blame the Thief | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Third Son | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bene | 2.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ro Bear | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Prophet’s Cat | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Man O’ War S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 5 | Taghleeb | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Highland Sky | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Patterson Cross | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Charming Kitten | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wake Forest (GER) | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Zhukova (IRE) | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sadler’s Joy | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Twilight Eclipse | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Riff Raff | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Spooked Out | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bond Vigilante | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bluegrass Prevails | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Eden Ridge | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | True Bet | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mighty Zealous | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Curious Cal | 3.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nobody Move | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Ruffian S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bar of Gold | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Verve’s Tale | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Indulgent | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Highway Star | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | High Ridge Road | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 12 | H Man | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Fleet Irish | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mission Leader | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Altesino | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Jaime’s Angel | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bourbon Empire | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 8 | Here Comes Tommy | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Southern Union | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Toohottoevenspeak | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | D’ Eloquent | 3.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Leaveematthegate | 2.50 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lucky Lou Pal | 10.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | River Knight | 30.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Freedom Seven | 20.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.