May 11, 2017 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Generous Pour | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Grand Prix | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pellucid (GB) | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lindeza | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Foolish Heart | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lynne’s Legacy | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kylla Instinct (GB) | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lirica Heat (ARG) | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Paschalitsa | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Very Hot | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sheswildnfree | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Scathing | 1.60 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Handicap)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | City Steel | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rprettyboyfloyd | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ain’t Misbehavin | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ground Rules | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kristi’s Copilot | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blanket of Ice | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Social Taboo | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hotsy Dotsy | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Yellow Bonnet | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Painting Corners | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Flower Heart Deer | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Napper Tandy | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Moon Kitty | 2.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Pure Perfection | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Yes Yes Yes | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | G. A. Betting | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | No Silent | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Fueled by Bourbon | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hollywood Don | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Banze No Oeste (BRZ) | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Aotearoa | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | K Thirty Eight | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Goliath’s Girl | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Filly On Fire | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Spicy Blonde | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Warrensdollarsigns | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sooner Time | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Back Beauty | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Holidayincambodia | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Jonny’s Choice | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Old Man Lake | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Street Fighter | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Real Big Deal | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jimmy Bouncer | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Roaring Rule | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Prime Issue | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nardo | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Could Be Magic | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sturdy One | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jeremy’s Legacy (IRE) | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Leveler | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Warm Endowment | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Poster Girl (GB) | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pica | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Khaleesi (BRZ) | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.