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Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, May 11, 2017

May 11, 2017 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 4 Starship Wildcat 1.80 2.5 5-1
7 7 Golden Kantharos 20.00 2.8 5-1 Scr
6 5 Chia Ghost 8.00 3 6-1
3 2 Padilla 3.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Harryhee 4.50 4.8 9-1 Scr
4 3 Our Independence 3.50 5.3 10-1
2 2 Colonel Red 12.00 7 13-1 Scr
1 1 All About Yasom 4.50 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 6 King Rontos 4.00 1.5 3-1 Scr
2 2 Adagio 2.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Moonstricking 8.00 2.8 5-1
7 6 Niaus 3.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Wine Critic 5.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Twas Nero 12.00 6 11-1
5 5 Honour Light 15.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Crystal Avalanche 4.50 1.5 3-1
4 4 Party Tarde 8.00 3 6-1
5 5 Lady Racer 1.80 3.3 6-1
6 6 Twotimingdancer 8.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Sweet Distinction 6.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Resolana 3.50 5.8 11-1
2 2 Go Forward 10.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Lady Greatness 3.50 1.3 2-1
8 8 Holters Girl 1.80 2.5 5-1
6 6 Don’t Beleve Watch 6.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Calabria 12.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 A Lotta Drama 4.50 5.3 10-1
7 7 Cotton Princess 15.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Jill’s Catch 10.00 6 11-1
4 4 Validity 8.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 7 Bella Kittens 8.00 2 4-1
1 1 Fly Swift 2.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Atenea (ECU) 12.00 3 6-1
2 2 Grace Appeal 3.50 4.5 9-1
3 3 A Fashion Affair 12.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Little United 6.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Waves of Blue 2.50 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Threat 3.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 I’m Thirsty 10.00 3 6-1
3 3 Milbra 6.00 4 8-1
6 6 Appella’s Ball 10.00 4 8-1
7 7 Case Dismissed 5.00 4.5 9-1
8 8 Overdriven Cat 2.50 5.5 10-1
1 1 Star Baby 8.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Debrah’s Dance 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 6 Abtaal 2.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 El Rustico 10.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Vigas 4.00 3 6-1
5 5 Browns Gap 3.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Amberjack 8.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Wild Impulse 8.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Wolf Dance 5.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Mambocello 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Concealedwithakiss 4.50 2.5 5-1
7 7 Rock Solid Lady 12.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Dude Fantasy 4.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Savingtime 6.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 More Than a Party 3.00 4 8-1
5 5 Linda Mimi 3.50 5.8 11-1
6 6 Mom’z Laugh 5.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Biloxi Bay 6.00 2 4-1
5 5 Unbroken Chain 4.50 2.3 4-1
7 7 Harry’s Gone Gray 3.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 Di Maestro 3.00 4 8-1
9 9 Little No Way 6.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Rule Maker 30.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Harlan’s Quest 5.00 7 13-1
8 8 Bolara 20.00 7 13-1
6 6 Omened By 20.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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