May 11, 2017 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Doolittle Raiders | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Street Heat | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mister Monolo | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Battery | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sir Maurice | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | General Bellamy | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Investigator | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Alasaal | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Snag | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | St. Louie | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Battle Midway | 1.60 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Silver Beach | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Richmond Street | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Marchant | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Wanda Fay | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Forty Nights | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kewt Tale | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Velvet Trinni | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dreams Are Pazible | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Trinni Princess | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I Still Miss You | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Analyzeyurspending | 2.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stream of Gold | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Caitriona | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Dr. Koy | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Colonel Andy | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Here Comes Michael | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jegos Fire | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Dublin Leprechaun | 50.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | The Intern | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Njord | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Catapult Jack | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Outrageous Bet | 5.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Legendary Humor | 50.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Gee’n Tee | 20.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 12 | Wintry | 30.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Arctic Schiller | 15.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Elbow Room | 20.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Oh So Sinister | 50.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Nisharora (IRE) | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Game Girl | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Theresas Candyrose | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Morethanawarning | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | It’s Two Hot Benny | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Resilient One | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | One Penny Piece (GB) | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Get the W | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Driven by Thunder | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Toga Challenger | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mahalo John | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cournoyer | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Cinderela El Crome | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Chosen One Elijah | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Sugarille | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Spa Treatment | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Catch Your Dreams | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Piquet | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Silly Numbers | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Madame Ambassador | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Belle of the Spa | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Emiliana’s Hope | 4.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Alley Oop | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tizza Temper | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Loose On the Town | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hey Jabber Jaw | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Big Rock | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vision Perfect | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | King Kranz | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Anytime Anyplace | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Jan’s Reserve | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | All Star Red | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Freudee | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Giant Ending | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Party Mint Star | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Tapceptional | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zeppole | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Verona Blue | 50.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Rullah | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Catania Rose | 50.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | You Lucky Dog | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Desert Affair | 3.50 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Saturdaynightfling | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Ocean Sunrise | 12.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Majestic Malissa | 15.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.