May 4, 2017 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Wild Good | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Insum Money | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Brave Enrique | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flemish Cap | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Taverni Bay | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mbrace Grace | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | United Del Coco | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Smart Dude | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Journey’s End | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Little Leo | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Paddy | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zenucci | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Our Boss | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sassy Slew | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Helen Virginia | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Distinction | 1.40 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Jamestowns Glory | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Bionsand | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Federica | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hannah Catherine | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Hansen’s Girl | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Athera | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Third Eye | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nola Fashion | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Heart Astray | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tiuna | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bradley’s Sunshine | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Dude | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Just Sassy | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fashion Factor | 1.60 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Flying Girl | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Beautyofaday | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Be Sure Lisa | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Quiet Force | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | J R ‘s Holiday | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Semblance of Order | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Keepthedreamalive | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | R. Great Adventure | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Two Step Time | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bashart | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | You Are Flatter | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tizagoldenrocket | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Second Street | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | El Globo | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Succesor of Fate | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Le Kybalion | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pirlo | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rollin | 3.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Milo Diamond | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Don’t Quit | 5.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Flying to Honor | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Papacho | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mo Cash | 1.20 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Dream Shot | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Zefiro | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fact Check | 1.80 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Arrecife | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kinghood | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Major Key | 5.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Durocher | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 3 | Fantastic Kitten | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Walterjeep | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Ultron | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Taken to Church | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Salutation | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Knockout Ranger | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Seeking Fast | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 7 | Jacob | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Goodzapper | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flying Rocket | 10.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Enduring Arch | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.