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Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, May 4, 2017

May 4, 2017 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Triple Perry 12.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Special Prize Dash 4.50 3 6-1
6 6 Sizzling Game 12.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 American Legion 3.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Skirt Chaser 2.50 4.8 9-1
10 9 Fast Dashin Tay 15.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Tdz Miss Shinin Elie 12.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Jrs Runaway Princess 6.00 7 13-1
9 9 Stoli First Prize 12.00 9 17-1 Scr
2 2 Jordans First Prize 15.00 9.3 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
8 8 Three R Zoomin 3.00 2 4-1
4 4 Jls Smoke N Go 6.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Stolistormcat 20.00 3 6-1
1 1 Rdd Dash Ta Fame 6.00 3 6-1
2 2 Mr Ferragamo 2.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Imgametoo 10.00 4 8-1
5 5 A Freakin Riot 15.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Swagger Jet 8.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Oak Tree Streakin 10.00 6 11-1
10 10 Duncans Comment 30.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 7 Hes Money 3.50 1.5 3-1
2 2 Consuela Delight 2.50 1.8 3-1
5 5 Money for Pop 20.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Prudish Cartel 3.00 5 9-1
10 10 Tomasitas Speedway 12.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Jess a Dreamgirl 30.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 La Doncella Comminup 8.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Colossal Elegance 8.00 7.3 14-1
9 9 Rapid Tree Jess 20.00 8.8 17-1
4 4 Spectre Rt 10.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
9 9 Less Effortless 8.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Fas Prize Doll 20.00 3 6-1
4 4 Cowgirl Game 10.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Jess Cruzin the Mall 2.50 4 8-1
3 3 Swifter Deal 15.00 5 9-1
2 2 Tdz Fast Dasher 3.50 5.3 10-1
5 5 Luci 123 6.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Jess a Little Star 3.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Captains Fortune 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
10 9 Class Will Shine 2.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 Jrs Shez Lucky Stoli 3.00 2 4-1
8 8 Kissin Fire 12.00 2.3 4-1 Scr
4 4 Follow My Scent 3.50 3 6-1
9 8 Abby Grace 10.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Warriorsdynastyduck 15.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Neaux Speed Limit 8.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Ldn Toast Dis Law 12.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Rio Rojo Cosino 12.00 7 13-1
2 2 Phoebes Oak 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
8 8 Over You 8.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Tee Mata 1.40 3.3 6-1
6 6 Hi Rollin 15.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Gamelee 8.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Nd Ladys Man 5.00 5 9-1
4 4 Heza Story Teller 8.00 5 9-1
5 5 Docs Pyc 10.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Repeat Tha Streak 20.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Red Woody 8.00 7.8 15-1
10 10 Dlj Imma B Famous 15.00 8.3 16-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Splendida Perla 10.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 All About That Smile 8.00 3 6-1
2 2 Elies Rakin 8.00 4 8-1
3 3 Eyesa Game 6.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Clareet 4.50 5.3 10-1
5 5 Sheza Moon Dasher 4.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Tf Magical Zoom 3.50 6.3 12-1
7 7 One Smart Fdd 20.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 B and G Sweet Jet 6.00 7.8 15-1
10 10 I Got the Boy 20.00 9.8 18-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 7 Blaze Forward 5.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Bjs Moonshine 15.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Truely Leavin You 3.50 4 8-1
10 10 Lady in Black 15.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Jess Like Logan 20.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Sweet Bru 5.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Cosino Warrior 8.00 6 11-1
4 4 Mighty Streakin 4.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Mayo T 8.00 7 13-1
9 9 Blues Destiny 6.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 One Sexy Mvp 2.50 1.8 3-1 Scr
1 1 Salt On the Corona 12.00 2.8 5-1
4 3 Fast Toastin Dash 3.50 2.8 5-1
7 6 Shez Jes Leaving You 5.00 3 6-1
6 5 Storm Hunter 8.00 5 9-1
2 2 Strawberry Milk 20.00 5.3 10-1
5 4 Jls Rebs Wagon 10.00 5.5 10-1
9 8 Ttt Ima Fast Jet 6.00 5.5 10-1
10 10 Zoomin Bailey Girl 8.00 6 11-1 Scr
8 7 Jrs Tempting First 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 6 Bayou Bux 12.00 2 4-1
4 3 Jla Flogoes On Fire 3.00 2 4-1
2 2 Runnin Away a Menace 3.50 2.3 4-1
5 4 Fish Camp 2.00 2.5 5-1
6 5 Fast Jezudash 15.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Rosita Special 15.00 5.8 11-1 Scr
8 7 T Otta B Me 12.00 6.8 13-1
9 8 Wicked Stoli 20.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Ttt Kas So 6.00 7 13-1
10 9 Corona for Harley 30.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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