May 3, 2017 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Our Girl Abby | 1.60 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bangle | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Ephesians Six | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Goodbye Brockley | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sugar Queen | 1.40 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Fair City Girl | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1 | Birchwood Road | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Matador | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | King of New York | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Slim Shadey (GB) | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Indycott | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 11 | Gentrify | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 1 | Are We Not Men | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 4 | Docs Legacy (IRE) | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 6 | Indebted | 3.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Dream Man | 4.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lucky Lotto | 6.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 1A | 7 | Unbridled Ocean | 5.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | Glass House (GB) | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 7 | Deltalina | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 4 | Lady Alexandra | 1.20 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Platinum Spark | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mojo’s Queen | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Heavenly Score | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Fields of Song (IRE) | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Picture Day | 2.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 9 | Jemmabelle | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | First Charmer | 10.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Between the Lines | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cocked and Loaded | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pulling G’s | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Day of Fury | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Big Guy Ian | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tashreeh | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Proven Commodity | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Alright Alright | 3.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Los Borrachos | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 9 | Elenzee | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Top Hat City | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Dab | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Saratoga Colonel | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bats Cleanup | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Uncle Tbone | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Louisiana Lady | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 6 | Ides of Arch | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | One Mo Chance | 6.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 1A | 11 | Uncle Chester | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Arthur Avenue | 8.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Whatstotalkabout | 3.50 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Captain Kitt | 30.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 16 | Audrique | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | May Flowers | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Veil Dance | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Majestic Lassie | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Queen of Spades | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Quincy Girl | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Spirit Lets Hearit | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Nile Princess | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sister Steff | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Asian’s Way | 5.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Lynnie B | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 15 | 15 | Sasana (GB) | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 11 | Really | 12.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lulu’s Blues | 3.50 | 12.5 | 24-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Eta Carinae | 12.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Esther the Queen | 15.00 | 13.8 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Cursor | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Eloquent Riddle | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 1 | Cosi Bella | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Overture | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Montrachet | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stay Fond | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 1A | 5 | Thirstforthecup | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Bigkat and Camille | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Montclair (IRE) | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Roman Approval | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Arghad | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mr Maybe | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Camp Creek | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Closing Bell | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Divine Oath | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Turco Bravo (CHI) | 2.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 9 | Iron Power | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Revved Up | 3.50 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Paid Admission | 5.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | Questeq | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Smart Throb | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 6 | Thin Dress | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Pescara | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 8 | Eighth Commandment | 2.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Courageous Linz | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Youth Gone Wild | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Tequila Sunday | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 16 | 16 | Sapporo | 4.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Majestic Mac | 10.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 3 | Grande Beso | 6.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Pana Elianne | 3.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
| 12 | 7 | J C My Way | 20.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Wish Upon | 20.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 4 | Sophia’s Choice | 5.00 | 13.5 | 26-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | On Time Arrival | 30.00 | 13.5 | 26-1 | Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.