April 30, 2017 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
5 |
Bit’s Lover Boy |
4.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Grand Poobah |
1.60 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Canadian Ranger |
4.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Silken Thomas |
2.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Tigne |
10.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Legal Dispute |
12.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Mister Nada |
3.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Jimmies Truck |
8.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Shot for Shot |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Slewsridingshotgun |
20.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Mighty Quinn |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Hey Big Man |
2.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Tuition |
4.50 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Exile Train |
15.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Never Worn |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Let’s Play |
3.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Awesome At Last |
2.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Dare to Bear |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Best Boy |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Showing Sin |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
8 |
7 |
Winstanley (IRE) |
2.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Cosmic Charlie |
20.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Runaway Pepper |
3.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Bring On the Bull |
10.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Hey Bear |
12.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Flying Echo |
20.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Good Looking Leo |
6.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Another Bid |
15.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Volstead |
4.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
War Fan |
20.00 |
9.6 |
18-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Land Ho |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Into the Mystic |
2.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Bakersfield |
4.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Augusto B |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Rock River |
12.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Bubba Boy |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Silent Vision |
10.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
San Nicola Thunder |
3.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Constantino |
2.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Spadina Road |
15.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Run to the Bank |
10.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Field of Courage |
2.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Ultraflame |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Imperatore |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
My Way Tapper |
5.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Confidentiality |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Tough Equation |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
11 |
10 |
Waubaushene |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Totally Unexpected |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
It’s a Breeze |
10.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Lowi Vene |
3.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
One Flashy Cat |
20.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Itstartswithadrink |
20.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Dexter Road |
15.00 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Rocky Palace |
20.00 |
9.4 |
18-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Fury S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Enstone |
2.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Ellan Vannin |
3.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Cindervella |
10.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Goldrush Glory |
15.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Mythical Mission |
3.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Financial Recovery |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Ghostly Presence |
6.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Lemon Zip |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Lady Nicky |
20.00 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Kasuga |
6.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Gliding By |
2.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Lilly’s Goldie |
4.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Conquest Dynasty |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Run to the Beat |
2.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Luckbe Tanya |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Reserved |
12.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Ediberto |
15.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Courtly Manner |
4.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
|
13 |
13 |
The Doctor |
20.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Dani’s Victory |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Cenar |
8.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Join the Rush |
12.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Grin n’ Bear |
12.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Nupogodi |
6.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Ben Lomond |
3.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Paleface |
20.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Shaking the Stage |
20.00 |
9.1 |
17-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Northern Track |
20.00 |
9.3 |
18-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Fiery Bear |
20.00 |
11.1 |
21-1 |
|
14 |
14 |
Last Wan |
20.00 |
11.6 |
22-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.