Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, April 30, 2017

April 30, 2017 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 5 Bit’s Lover Boy 4.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Grand Poobah 1.60 1.9 4-1 Scr
1 1 Canadian Ranger 4.50 2.7 5-1
3 3 Silken Thomas 2.50 2.9 5-1
4 4 Tigne 10.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Legal Dispute 12.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Mister Nada 3.50 2.1 4-1
4 4 Jimmies Truck 8.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Shot for Shot 3.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Slewsridingshotgun 20.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Mighty Quinn 10.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Hey Big Man 2.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Tuition 4.50 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Exile Train 15.00 3 6-1
7 7 Never Worn 3.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Let’s Play 3.50 3.4 6-1
1 1 Awesome At Last 2.00 4 8-1
5 5 Dare to Bear 6.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Best Boy 8.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Showing Sin 15.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
8 7 Winstanley (IRE) 2.50 2.7 5-1
10 9 Cosmic Charlie 20.00 3.3 6-1
9 8 Runaway Pepper 3.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Bring On the Bull 10.00 4.1 8-1 Scr
4 4 Hey Bear 12.00 4.7 9-1
6 5 Flying Echo 20.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Good Looking Leo 6.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Another Bid 15.00 7.4 14-1
7 6 Volstead 4.00 7.7 15-1
3 3 War Fan 20.00 9.6 18-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 7 Land Ho 3.00 2 4-1
5 5 Into the Mystic 2.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Bakersfield 4.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Augusto B 6.00 4 8-1
2 2 Rock River 12.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Bubba Boy 8.00 5 9-1
1 1 Silent Vision 10.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 San Nicola Thunder 3.50 1.5 3-1
1 1 Constantino 2.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Spadina Road 15.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Run to the Bank 10.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Field of Courage 2.50 4.1 8-1
5 5 Ultraflame 6.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Imperatore 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 My Way Tapper 5.00 2.1 4-1
9 9 Confidentiality 6.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Tough Equation 4.00 3.3 6-1
11 10 Waubaushene 8.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Totally Unexpected 10.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 It’s a Breeze 10.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Lowi Vene 3.00 7.4 14-1
10 10 One Flashy Cat 20.00 7.9 15-1 Scr
4 4 Itstartswithadrink 20.00 8.4 16-1
5 5 Dexter Road 15.00 8.9 17-1
2 2 Rocky Palace 20.00 9.4 18-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Fury S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 6 Enstone 2.50 1.9 4-1
9 9 Ellan Vannin 3.50 3.4 6-1
8 8 Cindervella 10.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Goldrush Glory 15.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Mythical Mission 3.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Financial Recovery 8.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Ghostly Presence 6.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Lemon Zip 20.00 6 11-1
3 3 Lady Nicky 20.00 8.9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 6 Kasuga 6.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Gliding By 2.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Lilly’s Goldie 4.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Conquest Dynasty 10.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Run to the Beat 2.50 4.6 9-1
4 4 Luckbe Tanya 8.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Reserved 12.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 6 Ediberto 15.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Courtly Manner 4.00 2.9 5-1
13 13 The Doctor 20.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Dani’s Victory 10.00 5 9-1
9 9 Cenar 8.00 7.4 14-1
10 10 Join the Rush 12.00 7.9 15-1
1 1 Grin n’ Bear 12.00 8.1 15-1
11 11 Nupogodi 6.00 8.1 15-1
8 8 Ben Lomond 3.00 8.3 16-1
5 5 Paleface 20.00 8.4 16-1
4 4 Shaking the Stage 20.00 9.1 17-1
12 12 Northern Track 20.00 9.3 18-1
7 7 Fiery Bear 20.00 11.1 21-1
14 14 Last Wan 20.00 11.6 22-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.