April 29, 2017 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bella Fabiana | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Buckden House | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Marilyns Last Love | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Flashy Patch | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Silent Cove | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Gwendoline H | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ring for a Drink | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Flight to Vegas | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Adopted Family | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ready’s Princess | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sing to Run | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Callielikedherbrew | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Are You Kidding Me | 1.20 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | U S Marshal | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Johnny Bear | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Secret Passage | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Unbridled Juan | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tonedaddy | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Starship Gambler | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Good Deed Indeed | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Marsala | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Queenstown | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Penny Stamp | 2.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | This Is the Way | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sierra Angel | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Poly Anna | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Quality Assurance | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Evil Woman | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Crumlin Queen | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Ray of Sunshine | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Picasso Moon | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Somewhere Outthere | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kadley | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Conflation | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Forestella | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Queens Honor | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chica Dulce | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Katrina’s Way | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Afleet Connection | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Releasethe Glacken | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Whip Me Into Shape | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cheburashka | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Butilovesyababe | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Aye Aye Captain | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jurojin | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Timingiseverything | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Thatlookonyerface | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ault | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | York Ranger | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | That’s a Stretch | 4.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Moonlight Malice | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Riker | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ethical Funds | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Conquest Boogaloo | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Oakton | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Goodoldhockeygame | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Maxsmiraclejourney | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ultimate Destiny | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Born in a Breeze | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Redwin Romp | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | A Pic by Mrwill | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | I Got Silent Ego | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lailas Princess | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Brighter Ideas | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fresh Princess | 1.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Diamond Vision | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Big Time Nanny | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Thirteen Diamonds | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Its a Lady’s World | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Luna d’Avril | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hazel Meadow | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | She’s No Meeny | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | My Cantata | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Reliably Royal | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lake Marion | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Double Ex’s | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gretna Gracie | 20.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Brews Toonie Toss | 20.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.