April 28, 2017 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Leroi’s Thrill | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Grosco (MEX) | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Internet Success | 0.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Spanish Justice | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Top Gato | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Strong Response | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Drip Brew | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Candrasa | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Radiantrithym | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Heir Apparent | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Buy Low Sell High | 1.60 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hippolyte | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Read the Cards | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Ice Cream Truck | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Sleepwalker | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Special Jo | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Neighborhood Cat | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 1 | Incoming | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Green Gold | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Reward’s Girl | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Soaring Now | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ice Freeze | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Spider Walkin | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Thig Ar Latha | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Keturah | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Heavenly Lucky | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Queen Mary J | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Kitty Express | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Oh So Terrible | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Tiger Eyes | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Herald Square | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Soliloquy | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Auntie’s the One | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Gata Furiosa | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Mercy Ann | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Game Factor | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jaunt | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Soar Once More | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cat Walk | 20.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Lipstickonmycollar | 15.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Aeroscout | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Seventh Tee | 15.00 | 13 | 25-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 10 | Get Foxy | 30.00 | 14.8 | 28-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Giovanna Ponti | 30.00 | 15.3 | 29-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Perfect Comic | 30.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lifelong Dreamer | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Just Due | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Got It | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hugh B. | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Private Time | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bajan Cash | 4.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 9 | Sault Starr | 50.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Church Social | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Ruud Grrl | 50.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Corby | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 10 | Qualifying | 50.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 5 | Private Client | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Lilly’s Dream | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Flower Valley | 4.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Tisbury | 3.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sneaky Fair | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 7 | Secret Trick | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 6 | Sight Reading | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Enduring Honor | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dattts Our Guy | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Krewe Chief | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Silverdollardreams | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | El Bonito | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fleetway | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Heliodoro | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Bewitch S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Earring | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Quiet Business | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dyna’s Recoleta | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Daring Duchess | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Arles (FR) | 0.80 | 4.8 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Inchargeofme (GB) | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Master Merion | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | My Man Jax | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mr Dewey | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Van Horn | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Silver Defense | 3.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | American Sea | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Iconic | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Flat Bush Four | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rompicapo (BRZ) | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Starstruck Kitten | 8.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Pirate Sailor | 30.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | Scr |
| 14 | 14 | Tizabreeze | 15.00 | 12 | 23-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Shirl’s Ready | 10.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Big Bad Zin | 8.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Landing Gear | 15.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Day Fantastic (ARG) | 12.00 | 14.5 | 27-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.