April 23, 2017 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Cardiac |
6.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
Scr |
3 |
2 |
Patentar (FR) |
3.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Frank Conversation |
2.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Up With the Birds |
1.80 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Gustnado |
4.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Awesome Image |
6.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Monterey Shale |
1.60 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Citori |
12.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Zachian |
3.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Monetary Policy |
30.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Julia’s Summer |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Specimen |
2.50 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Tune to Win |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Dragon Flower |
2.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Big Break |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Scathing |
3.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Princess Kendra |
2.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Trinitys Turn |
4.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Tiz No Bluff |
2.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Desert General |
6.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Mr Larson |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Night’s Watch |
4.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Sense of Glory |
1.60 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Pumpkin Star |
6.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
What a Ten |
4.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Besides the Point |
12.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Venezuelan Gold |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Friendly Request |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Kencho |
1.80 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Aura Rose |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Zensational Dancer |
4.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Winning Causeway |
6.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Moments Notiz |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Celebrity Status |
4.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Second Proposal |
3.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Swiss Cheese |
4.50 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
One More Roll |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Prohibition Repeal |
10.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
Scr |
6 |
5 |
Courageous Dave |
10.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Sir Studleigh |
3.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Lovely Anzi |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Rmanie’s Grey Suit |
15.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Air Force Cadet |
6.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Ground Attack |
4.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Hedoesitinstyle |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Righteous Wave |
6.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Nap Lajoie |
4.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Siren Lure S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
4 |
Ambitious Brew |
1.60 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Eddie Haskell |
5.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Richard’s Boy |
2.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Stormy Liberal |
1.40 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Coastline |
3.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
5 |
Faypien |
6.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Miss Remembering |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Anchor Baby |
6.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Sally Simpson |
30.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Tiz My Love |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Soul Singer |
4.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Utana |
3.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Vegastruck |
15.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Danuska’s My Girl |
4.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Demigoddess |
50.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.