April 23, 2017 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Mr. Neetie |
2.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Ok Now |
12.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Lethal Shot |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Ledbetter |
5.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Galaxy Express |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Time for Quality |
3.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Uncle James |
8.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Billy Badpay |
10.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Thomas Knight |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Two Weeks Off |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Try Flying |
2.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
T. J. Goodie |
5.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Valdina Crossing |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Fake Dreams |
4.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
D T Goodie |
5.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
T R Crew |
2.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
The Man |
1.40 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Larco Mar |
3.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
These Blues |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Broad Lover |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
10 |
8 |
Allstar |
8.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Lifes Reward |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Distinctivelygreat |
20.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
Scr |
7 |
5 |
Star of Sarava |
4.50 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
8 |
6 |
My Son Ernie |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Nick’s Posse |
3.50 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Street Chief |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
9 |
7 |
Turn to Travis |
8.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Bartolome |
5.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
Scr |
4 |
3 |
Senor Louie |
15.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
9 |
8 |
Discreetly Placed |
4.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Henry the King |
4.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Drosselmagic |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Conquest Kronos |
2.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Riq Fox |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Daddy’s Thief |
10.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Philly Completely |
8.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Runaway Mistress |
12.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Renwick |
15.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
2 |
Mr Brioni |
4.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
6 |
7 |
Chippewawhitechief |
3.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
1A |
4 |
Unspoken Quality |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
7 |
8 |
Here Comes Gary |
2.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Whitfields Return |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
6 |
Wellington Wizard |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
4 |
5 |
Yakov |
6.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Golden Rivet |
5.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
R Jolley Dreamer |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
9 |
7 |
In the Beat |
10.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Midnight Games |
4.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Wildcat Sailor |
3.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
Scr |
8 |
8 |
Red Rocket Express |
15.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Big Saver |
5.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
No More Strippers |
12.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
It Doesnt End Well |
10.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Awesome Devine |
6.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
9 |
7 |
Burning Mandate |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
12 |
10 |
Nellie Fox |
3.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
6 |
4 |
Road Agent |
10.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
10 |
8 |
Joey Whispers |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Estrickator |
10.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
8 |
6 |
Amblin Man |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Next Right |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
7 |
5 |
Pachanga Party |
12.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Coldblack |
10.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Brother Bobo |
6.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Bubblegum Tree |
20.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
Scr |
11 |
9 |
Park Avenue Appeal |
15.00 |
10.5 |
20-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.