April 23, 2017 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Bagpipes | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Royal Blessing | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | O T B Bob | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Northeast Bound | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rich Daddy | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Castlefinn | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Pinch Hit | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | More Than Kisses | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Charity Stripe | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lake Turkana | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Lookforasmile | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Sister Kan | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Sea Holiday | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Grace to Glory | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Juno Moon | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Grateful | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Never Grow Old | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sameeha | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Gentle Kitten | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Shes Trickey | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Kiwi Cat | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Everywheruwanttobe | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Cold Hearted Pearl | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Majestic Kindness | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nancy Doll | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Lt. | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tiz Madness | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Quiet Score | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Open Invitation | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Haute Prospect | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Double First | 5.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Super Wonderful | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Heartwood | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Twinsanity | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Winning Element | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Blanco Y Negro | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bookman | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Silver Treasure | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Extricate | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Levanto (ARG) | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Irst | 2.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sunshine Day (ARG) | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Victory to Victory | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lightning Dove | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Song of Spring | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Villa Elena | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dancing Waves (IRE) | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Coco Channel | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Fun | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Danceland | 3.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Enchanting Kitten | 3.50 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miss O’Hara | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Blue Collar | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Mo d’Amour | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Super Humor | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Gamble’s Ghost | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Game Time Decision | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Blip n’ Th Bye | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stageplay | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sweetgrass | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wonderment | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Chiltern Street | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Alaskan Prince | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Canadian Flyer | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Wagon Boss | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Loose On the Town | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Vici | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bourbon Candy | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Whiskey Bravo | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Forgive | 4.50 | 8.5 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 8 | Tiz Too | 50.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Save the Drama | 30.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Denim Blue | 50.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | The Hans Sum One | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 13 | 9 | Dark Arden | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Chester Mon | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 9 | Kid Perfect | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 7 | Flat Bush Four | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Little Bit Irish | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Cowboy Quinn | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1A | 14 | Royal Ghost | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 7 | Kinetic Energy | 12.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Slim | 30.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Hard Knock Life | 10.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 1 | 11 | Mr Ree | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Perfect Cuppajoe | 15.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Promises to Keep | 20.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.