April 22, 2017 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | High Street | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Milady Rocks | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Awesometastic | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | On Board | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hello Linda | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stay Spicy | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Giovanna Ponti | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Smarty Kitten | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Forty Acres | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Malibu Sunset | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Purgenality | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kapellmeister | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Grantson | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mesoma | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | No Hiding Place | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Limousine Liberal | 1.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Wyeth | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Big Squeeze | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Silver Ride | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tizmatized | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Blonde in the City | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rangers Funny Girl | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Crack Your Whip | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Princess Dinah | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ginger Stone | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Raise Your L Up | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 7 | Color Me Blush | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Venetian | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Susie Bee | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kyllachy Queen (IRE) | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Belle Hill | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shelbysmile | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bitty Kitty | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dynazar | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flipcup | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Meantime | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Professor Snape | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vandelay | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Dinner | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tapsolute | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Encrypt | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Enhanced Edition | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Enchantera | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Town Classic | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Entertainer | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stone | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tavernonthecrow | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Westfest | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Masterofthehouse | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Rapa Iti | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jersey Street | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lenstar | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bam Bam Bryan | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Aquamarine | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mr Sheen | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kidnap | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Dixiana Elkhorn S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Itsinthepost (FR) | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Danish Dynaformer | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bullards Alley | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Chocolate Ride | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Taghleeb | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Red Rifle | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bigger Picture | 3.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Grey Wizard | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 7 | Charming Kitten | 6.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Roman Approval | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Interpol | 12.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Awestruck | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Clever Serve | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Golden Domer | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Billboard | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Star Quest | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lela’s Gift | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Dreamin of Della | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Loran Holiday (ARG) | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Conquest Classic | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Naples Mist | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.