April 22, 2017 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Palladian Bridge | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Krista’s Persona | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Little Bear Cat | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lakeside Sunset | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tahoe Tigress | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | E Warfare | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Spectacular Flash | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Perina’s Pride | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Glotona Again | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Julie D | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sweetrayofsunshine | 1.60 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Forest Pike | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Luciano | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Spa Town Parade | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Woodhaven S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bonus Points | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Frostmourne | 1.40 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Bird’s Eye View | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Outplay | 1.60 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Royal by Nature (IRE) | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Secretary At War | 2.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shamsaan | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Our Caravan | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nonna’s Boy | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Swivel | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Castaway | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Banner Bill | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Instant Replay | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blue Pigeon | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Global Positioning | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Rockford | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sir Bond | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gentrify | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Draxhall Woods | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Brewing | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Roll Tide Roll | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Zaguri | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Promise the Sky | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | New Jersey John | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Source Control | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Rulica | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Our American Star | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Skeet Shot | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Coral Ridge | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Heldatgunpoint | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rossie Val | 6.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 10 | Tap City | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Conquest Prankster | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Jacala | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Stormin Stephen | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Dearie | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Mr Harlan | 2.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Southern Union | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Cody’s Notes | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 7 | Clutch Cargo | 3.50 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1A | 13 | Can You Diggit | 3.50 | 8.8 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Sandy Strikes | 20.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Bene | 1.20 | 10 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 4 | Prophet’s Cat | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Ro Bear | 10.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – New York Stallion S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Noble Freud | 1.20 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Frosty Gal | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Toni Tools | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dublin Girl | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Karen Kan | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bluegrass Flag | 2.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Unbridledadventure | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Piazza Del Campo | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Smarter | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Arch of Honor | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Arch Contender | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Emoticon | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Bootlegger (FR) | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Patrick’s Harp | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 8 | He’s Cheeky | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 14 | Game Breaker | 2.50 | 8.5 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 1 | Mysterio | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 1X | 15 | Love and Care | 4.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | Scr |
| 1A | 13 | There They Go | 4.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 7 | Radial Flyer | 30.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Madeyourpoint | 10.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Double Rainbow | 15.00 | 13.8 | 26-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.