April 21, 2017 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Smart and Tough | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Smart Dixie Jones | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chilly Bay | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tambourin | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rocket Man Richie | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Datamining | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Scrapple | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Spoiled by God | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Uncle Chato | 3.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Wing Fighter | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Zimbabwe | 0.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Collateral Damage | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Impressive Way | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wilko Freeway | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wilko’s Goldeneye | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Year Book | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Machado | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bobcat | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Legal Punch | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Professor Zoom | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Legend’s Hope | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Slick William | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Z Supreme | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gavin Streetsense | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Good Save | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Rodon | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | La Reine’s Gem | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | City Gold | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Leroy Brown | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Joe’s Arch | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Jet Home | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Jackson S | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cute as a Button | 4.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Old Sport | 2.50 | 8.8 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 10 | Tuffy’s Lucky | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | That Makes Sense | 3.00 | 10 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 8 | Baby Snacks | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Aluminum Striker | 20.00 | 13.5 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Hickory Hill | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flight Crew | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Whiskey Tree | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Magritte | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bird of Trey | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Demon Buster | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Max Crown | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Marrakech | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ten Hut | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Baduke | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sensational Notion | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Radar Gun | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Loconotion | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sunny Hansen | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 8 | Flankenstein | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Angel Gio | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Well Off | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Papa Vinny | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | I Got Class | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Circle of Light | 4.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Uswain Bolt | 30.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Can He Shine | 15.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 9 | Buzz Lite | 20.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Jax | 3.50 | 12.3 | 23-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Major Anthem | 5.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Green in Site | 30.00 | 13.5 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lil Habit of Mine | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Supertrend | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 7 | Irish Fix | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Discreet Deceit | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hailey’s Flip | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | She’s Stunning | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Thirst for Truth | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Truly Hot | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Littlefirefighter | 4.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Piercinator | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Hardwin | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 15 | 15 | Pik Em | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Tennessee Wildcat | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sambook | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Open Petition | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Papa Pablo | 2.50 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Sippin’onbubbles | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 14 | 14 | Catapult Jack | 6.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Optical Illusion | 30.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Don’t Poke the Cat | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Looks Like Simon | 10.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Red Romeo | 10.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Seven Knots | 12.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Match the Pot | 50.00 | 13.8 | 26-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Beltway Bob | 15.00 | 14.5 | 27-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | No Distortion | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Negrito | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blu Moon Ace | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Any Court Inastorm | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Grande Shores | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Double Whammy | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stolen Love | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Just Call Kenny | 4.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Forever Bernardini | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Determined | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pro Daddy | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Dream of Peace | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Invisible Crown | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Approbation | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fletched | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Asset Allocation | 4.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 9 | Brockadoodle | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Absolute Pinnacle | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Resident Scholar | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 10 | So Outspoken | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Opio | 50.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Bralin’s Grace | 20.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.