April 21, 2017 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ventina | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flying Girl | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bahama Kitten | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dressed in Heels | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Deputy Dora | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lover’s Key | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Patrona | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Princess Victoria | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Flying to Honor | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hail to Victory | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Charlie the Greek | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Vencedor | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Manolete | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Track Shill | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Over Limit | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Diddley | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Eloy Rod | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stone Heart | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Saratoga Two Step | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lion Heart Legend | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Dawn Patrol | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nuclear Fusion | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | American Tzar | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sambrook Edge | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | River Running | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tero | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Twas Nero | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Czarmo | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stravinsky’s Quest | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Little John W | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Federal Reserve | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Recalibrating | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bodhi Dog | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wine Critic | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Coxswain | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Starship Tribbles | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pat M’s Image | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Devil | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Mandate | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | R Sweet Exchange | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ms. Violette | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Vera’s Finally | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Princess Ariel | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Celes Image | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Golden Kantharos | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sum Quick Cash | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lil’s Fast Boy | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Whooo Here We Go | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Judiths Nathan | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | G T’s Graemie | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Francesco Fishing | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | American Juancho | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Starship Jubilee | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Last Kiss | 30.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Red Parasol | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Ortiga (IRE) | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Harbor Jedi | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Moon Over Paris | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Trickita | 2.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Elizabeth Aurora | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Roar S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Classic Rock | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Field Trip | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | General Obvious | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chatiment | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Coleman Rocky | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Alum | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Katalox | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Coronado Again | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Crocodile Charlie | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Abtaal | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Very Very Stella | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Who’s Your Drama | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Hammers Terror | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Chief Kitten | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Entwistle | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Adios Nardo | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Boss Man | 4.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Padilla | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Charlie Mops | 3.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Turkomani | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.