April 20, 2017 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Southern Keys | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lauren’s Ladd | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sequentially | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wrightwood | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Professor Cinch | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zarqa Star | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mostly Cloudy | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Taima the Hawk | 2.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | General Mach Four | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Getoffmyback | 4.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Westwood’s Wizard | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | It’s Tiz Time | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Make It a Triple | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Quality Line | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bucky Goldstein | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Super Storm | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Time and Chance | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | To B. Ava | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Agent Nine T Nine | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | The Cat’s Leavin | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Rizzi’s Honors | 0.80 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lil Lottie | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Warrior Vixen | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jill Madden | 0.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Quiet No More | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Arya Stark | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Curlina Curlina | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bayou El | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | A New Trend | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Over Par | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Heat | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Packin Heat | 50.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hot Market | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Los Gatos | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Roaring Rule | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Holdthismiss | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Record Highs | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Senator Robert | 6.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hot Ore | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Californiasummer | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Beat the Bushes | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pay Or Play | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Marthamydear | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cheyenne Dancer | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sheza Firstsamurai | 2.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | American Rhiannon | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Truly Ponti | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Watch Me Now | 1.40 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ill Tell You What | 30.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sunshine Laurie | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Harbored Affair | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Yavrig | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Amazing Lady | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Californium | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Kopitar | 1.20 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Amazon Cry | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Gummy | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Quiet Dude | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Arms Runner | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Indium | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Soul | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dog Gone Lenny | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Candy’s Martini | 12.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cascade Rock (IRE) | 5.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | The Rule of King’s | 30.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Humid | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.