April 19, 2017 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mugrosito | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nuclear Option | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ten City | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Abby Brilliant | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cutler | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Breakin Daylight | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bullet Bandit | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Taurus C | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Prairie’s Gift | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Miguel | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Crooked as Can Be | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Carouse | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rakeitin | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Turn to Include | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lotto Cat | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | War Point | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spinning for Home | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tattaglia | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Finito | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Brooks House | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Miss Shawhan | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | No Fault | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Qualkris | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 1A | 5 | Upstage | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 1 | Fuerza | 2.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 11 | Lela’s Gift | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Forevermore | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Angels Seven (IRE) | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 12 | Fairybrook | 5.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Out of My Way | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sly Ranger | 10.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Vital | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chateau | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Baytown Lex | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Awesome Eddie | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Just Like Richie | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rhyder Time | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sun Dress | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Orbatron | 5.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Amberspatriot | 3.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Reaganize | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Flatter Up | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Spellker | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Texas Music | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Princess Lu Lu | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pastime | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Marina’s Legacy | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jay Wow | 50.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Priss | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Jersey Heist | 5.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | On Probation | 20.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Heartspoke | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Hippolyte | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Lola’s the One | 8.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Tickety Boo | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Kirby’s Penny | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Drop Dead Red | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dee Dee Bertie | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Audrey’s Double | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Princess Drossie | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gurlin | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Racey Reecey | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Conquest Typhoon | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Turbo Street (AUS) | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Security Risk | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Brass Compass | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Special Ops | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Weekend Express | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Tale of Fancy | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1A | 14 | Niigon’s Edge | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Dragon Bay | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | High Noon Rider | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Arties Silver Mine | 6.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Surgical Strike | 6.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Some in Tieme (BRZ) | 20.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 | |
| 1 | 8 | Nipigon | 15.00 | 13.8 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Netela | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shystermeister | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ezra | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Swordfish | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fat Daddy | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vagabond Prince | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | K L S Forty Three | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Proudly High | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Agentmulder | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shoe Show King | 10.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.