April 16, 2017 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Stole My ‘Art | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Handfull | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Conquest So True | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Josephine’s Moment | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lob City | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Warren’s Jen Fizz | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Brimstoned | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | City Steel | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Got Even | 1.20 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Madiba | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Muchos Besos | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Jonny’s Choice | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Italian Babbo | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Six Point Rack | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Freddies Dream | 1.20 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Plain Wrap | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Pacific Heat | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stylish in Black | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ceeme Run Wild | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jeremy’s Legacy (IRE) | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Madame Stripes (ARG) | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Award It | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Allowances (IRE) | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Space Cadet | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Picture Tube | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Topester | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blix Curve | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Movie | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tune to Win | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Papa Royale | 2.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Son of the South | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Johann’s Command | 3.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Conqueror | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Legal Authority | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kid Charming | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Latitude | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ziconic | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Uber Star | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Brolazza | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bryan Habana (ARG) | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Princess Nile | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Crowded Way | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Majestic Diva | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Run Scout Run | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Princess Nicole | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dizzy Diva | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | She’sluckythatway | 1.20 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Forthe Lovof Patty | 4.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – San Pedro S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Taxman’s Quest | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Aristocratic | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Big League | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rebel War | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bobby Abu Dhabi | 1.80 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | American League | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Que Chistoso | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Rprettyboyfloyd | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Formulate | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Air Pocket | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Lindante | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Malko (IRE) | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mexican Groove | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 3 | Above Board | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Call Saul | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.