April 15, 2017 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Skip the Pinot | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 6 | Well Mannered | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Heat Road | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Star’s Valentino | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Will Munnings | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1A | 10 | Creative Art | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hat of Jacks | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Ghost City King | 5.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mud Light | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Boalt Hall | 6.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Henderson Country | 10.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lamu | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Ring Necked | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Primarily Gold | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Civitavecchio (ARG) | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | O T B Bob | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | First Heritage | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Roma Road | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bandi’s Gal | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Gasupthejet | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 11 | Gold Hawk | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | High Dollar Kitten | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Rage Riot | 6.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Go Gold | 12.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Storm Around | 15.00 | 13 | 25-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Leofric | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rosary Man | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hillbilly Royalty | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | One Fine Dream | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Freestyler | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Elijah | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fire Starter | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Mishegas | 3.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Awesome Thought | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 6 | Abbaa | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Tanner’s Popsicle | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Counterforce | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cash Bonus | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 7 | Knights Key | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Luna de Loco | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mister Pollard | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Purely Given | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Net Gain | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cloudy River | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Holiday Man | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Allidoisdreamofyou | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Conquest Bigluck E | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Moon Gate Warrior | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Oak Brook | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pinson | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | For Greater Glory | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Excessive | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Badabing Badaboom | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Snickerboxer | 10.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Arch Cat | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zip Van Winkle | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | United Stand | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hot Shot Kid | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Off Road | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tizfun | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pitch Count | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | The Red Dude | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hard Fought | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Curmit | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Camalus | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bowman West | 30.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Count Fleet Sprint H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Moe Candy | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Whitmore | 0.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chief Cicatriz | 30.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wabel | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Black Bear | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Holy Boss | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chief of Staff | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Apprehender | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sharp Art | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Northern Spur S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Balandeen | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cistron | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jerrid | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Warrior’s Club | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Colonelsdarktemper | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Love That Lute | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Total Tap | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Oaklawn H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Inside Straight | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Storm | 0.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Texas Chrome | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Goats Town | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Madefromlucky | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cutacorner | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Domain’s Rap | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Long Station | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Purrfectpersuasion | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Double Dare | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Langs Legend | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Midnight’s Fantasy | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sumpter | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Greeleys Charm | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Twenty and Four | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Chilango | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Confederate Rags | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Funny Questions | 10.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Perfect Saint | 15.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Arkansas Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sonneteer | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Petrov | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Silver Dust | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rockin Rudy | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Malagacy | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Classic Empire | 1.60 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Grandpa’s Dream | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Untrapped | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lookin At Lee | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rowdy the Warrior | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Conquest Mo Money | 15.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | One Dreamy Dude | 50.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mojo Street | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Dynabeaver | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Far Out Kailee | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sky Alert | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dontsaymyname | 50.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bold Shot | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Husky Clipper | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Class President | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Point After | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Indy Awesome | 8.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Birdsone | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Pat’s Shoes | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Anteros | 40.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | The Rouge Diesel | 20.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.