April 14, 2017 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sturdy One | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Warm Endowment | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Snow Cloud (IRE) | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Skradin (ARG) | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wealthy Shipman | 1.60 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mangita | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Adaptability | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Miss Napper Tandy | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Beauty N Balance | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Precious Caroline | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blame the Weather | 2.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Summertimemischief | 2.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tattooed Kitty | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dahlia Azul | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Dolly | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lilac Street | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Princess Marie | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fallout | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Lunar Empress | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Enduring Erin | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Faithfully | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Tapit | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | She’s a Warrior | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Isla City | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Aguacate | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | War Storm | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Ourroseofthenile | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Righteous Dixie | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mandy D | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Holiday Movie | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Looking At Thelake | 2.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Old Man Lake | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Sidepocket Champ | 50.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sudden Sam | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Closing Time | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lambo Luxx | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Jimmy Bouncer | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | W. Giles | 2.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Boy Howdy | 2.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Longstocking | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Candy Boss | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Del Mar Ann | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Poster Girl (GB) | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Khaleesi (BRZ) | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Mai Tai | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Anita Partner (IRE) | 3.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Scatterling (IRE) | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Atomic Action | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Cal Cal Li Gowchis | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Remember Lucky | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Marvelous Kaos | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Martini Up | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ralph Jacobs | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 9 | Bobby Z | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Simply Parkin | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cupid’s Beau | 3.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Jerry’s Thunder | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.