April 14, 2017 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Primal | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dareandaprayer | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Betweensatinsheets | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Watch Out | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Britt’s Vow | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Reverend Sam | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dreammeister | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Summersweet Road | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Bay’s Commander | 4.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Delta Chance | 10.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wolf Ticket | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | He Gotta Go | 10.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Portobello Sunset | 30.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bad Boy Johnny | 30.00 | 13.8 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Knight of Dreams | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Quiet Ry | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Flummox | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bob’s Gone Wild | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Ben | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Oliver’s Bull | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | It’sgoodtobelucky | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Luv Bandit | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Anmaat | 20.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Eddington’s Star | 15.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Canofspots | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I Am Another | 6.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Repent With Me | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Alshujaa | 20.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | Miss Barham | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 1 | Five Star Nap | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Our Addi Belle | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 8 | New Lucky Penny | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Grantastica | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Sanilac | 2.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Comic Summer | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Vickies Drama | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Precisely Ponti | 4.50 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1A | 2 | Stellastellastella | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Oh Dear Lord | 10.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Regal Reign | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Exhume | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 13 | Dusty | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 10 | Glorious Summer | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Trojan Jeff | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Brother J. R. | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Steelman Go | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Red Wolf | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | First Response | 4.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wilburn’s Angel | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Quietly Cuba | 6.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Langdom | 5.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Awesom Champ | 5.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bucksabigboy | 30.00 | 13.8 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Boston Marathoner | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Condominium | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | American Roma | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Shoe Money | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | No Mo Jo | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 8 | Conquest Hiosilver | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Riqqa | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Giant Secret | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Recapitulation | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lipan | 3.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Summer Tiger | 12.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Wild Man | 6.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 9 | Big Commission | 4.50 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Outrun the Posse | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Blue Azul | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Abraham | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hot Item | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rank | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Battle Tap | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | King Ptolemy | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Admiralty | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 10 | Solve | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Sabrena’s Bling | 15.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mr. Ticker Talker | 30.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Malibu Max | 5.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Flowers for Lisa | 30.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Divine Shift | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Hooroo | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 9 | Fire Blaster | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lawton | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Providence | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Stout’cannon | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 4 | Husker Red | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Main Road | 4.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Ekati’s Gem | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mono | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Copper Munn | 15.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Mr Black Gold | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Fantasy S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Dutch Parrot | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Torrent | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chanel’s Legacy | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Spooky Woods | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Benner Island | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Sweet Stella | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kell Paso | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vexatious | 3.50 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Ever So Clever | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Conquest Slayer | 50.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Conquest Bandido | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Drinks On Broadway | 30.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Apple Blossom H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Stellar Wind | 0.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tiger Moth | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Durango | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Divine Elegance | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Streamline | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Terra Promessa | 1.60 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Nelson’s El Camino | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Long Station | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 9 | Dan the Go to Man | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Langdarma | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Philoctetes | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Tap the Admiral | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Marine Pilot | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Doctor Peter | 3.50 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | California Coast | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Susan’s Reward | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Sword of David | 15.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | King Maynard | 50.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.