April 13, 2017 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Baytown Princess | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Girl’s Night | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zodacious | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Country Sway | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shape of You | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mamasita | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Genuwine | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flat Drunk | 3.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Shoot From the Hip | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tisdale | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Catanova | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Neighborhood Cat | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ready by You | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Douglascrowfeather | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rabanito | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Twenty Gauge | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Zarcat | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Heronetta | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pinking of You | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Seeyouatthedisco | 1.20 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Elona | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Too Cool | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lucy’s Revenge | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | She’s Messi | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Color Me Blush | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Heavy Roller | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Super Touch | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Hope Is Best | 30.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | El Mundo | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Alabama Son | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Running Back | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Caniform | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sea of Echoes | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | In My Dust | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Major Force | 5.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Max Faktor | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 12 | Hay Net | 10.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Earned It | 15.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Tally | 20.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Midnight Crossing (IRE) | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Holidays Saratoga | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sault Starr | 50.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Giada Vegas | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Sardinia | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Loom | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Quinta Verde (IRE) | 4.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Be My Baby | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Grand Jete (GB) | 3.50 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Spiga (IRE) | 4.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Lake Turkana | 50.00 | 10 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Audacious Angel | 50.00 | 11 | 21-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 12 | Vagabond | 4.00 | 12 | 23-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 8 | Prudence | 12.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Love On Tides | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 | Scr |
| 16 | 16 | Cause Ioya | 15.00 | 14.8 | 28-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Tour de Force | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Epic Journey | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Forevamo | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cherry Wine | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 6 | Raagheb | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Spring Quality | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Archanova | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Conquest Windycity | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Frammento | 6.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 1 | J S Bach | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Banree | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Carolina Jasmine | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Improv | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Julerette | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sea Cloud | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tia Flor | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pawleys Express | 2.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Basheba | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Appalachian S. Presented By Japan Racing Association
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dream Dancing | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | La Coronel | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bellavais | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | New Money Honey | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Journey Home | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Purely a Dream | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Proctor’s Ledge | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Coasted | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Morticia | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dynatail | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 13 | Ghostly Presence | 20.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 9 | Lull | 12.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Like a Hurricane | 30.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | The Gorilla Man | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Hush Up | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Pontual | 30.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tanzen | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Leroi’s Thrill | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Chuckmate | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Cat’s Destiny | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Tapitsphere | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Green Gold | 4.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Spanish Justice | 5.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Top Gato | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Two If by Sea | 20.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Ice Cream Truck | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shady Creek | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 11 | Irish Ninja | 20.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.