April 13, 2017 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Roman Revival | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Timber | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sammy Wonder Stone | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Portando | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Baby Bear’s Soup | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Day of Fury | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Risetotheoccasion | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ackeret | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tiz Long Gone | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Roll Tide Roll | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mewannarose | 1.60 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sophie Germain | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | No Sweat | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Long | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dance Queen | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Thirst for Truth | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Toohottoevenspeak | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Proud Zip | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | The Hero Within | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cold Gone Hot | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Monte Man | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Full of Mine | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Giant Ending | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Questeq | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jacqueline D | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | You Promise | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Empty House | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Grande Beso | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | New York Event | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 8 | Chorite | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wish Upon | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Prima Attrice | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Clairvoyant Lady | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kissin Cassie | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Shesmyheartandsoul | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 3 | Catcher in the Sky | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Spirit Lets Hearit | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bellelarama | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1A | 3 | On the Fringe | 2.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Summer Sally | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Alex the Terror | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Life in Shambles | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Classy Class | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Guy Ian | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Eighty Three | 1.80 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Claudia’s Vision | 30.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 3 | Down Royal | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 4 | Pescara | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Eighth Commandment | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Desert Affair | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 1 | Celtic Serenade | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Long Island Lady | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Sharp Lacey | 2.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Pure Gemmz | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Hyde Park Express | 3.50 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Freckle de Freck | 10.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.