April 12, 2017 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Rarin to Go |
6.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Rippin Ranger |
4.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
13 |
13 |
Boston Marathoner |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Rapid Red |
3.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Benediction |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Paschal |
8.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Dothebestyoucan |
20.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Big Headed Jerry |
8.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Don’t Blame Dexter |
20.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
Scr |
12 |
11 |
Amaze |
15.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Plentiful |
10.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Trust Your Gut |
6.00 |
10.5 |
20-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Justin Zee |
12.00 |
11.3 |
21-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
2 |
Rhythm Park |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Choir Director |
4.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Bear’s Big Boy |
20.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
7 |
Dion |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
1A |
8 |
Well Mannered |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
Scr |
4 |
3 |
Dr. Clark |
6.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Rojac |
5.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Medal of Courage |
3.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Chip Van Winkle |
12.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Forever Fara |
4.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
C O Barnrat |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
She’s Got a Shot |
5.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Abboccato |
3.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
She’s Up n’ Gone |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Beau Me Fast |
6.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Bright Hope |
12.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
She’s the Most |
10.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Ulm |
15.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Tech |
6.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Crafty’s Girl |
15.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
9 |
9 |
Lou |
6.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Smiley Briley |
5.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
She’sabrees |
5.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Rose to Glory |
6.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Catty N Sassy |
4.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Miss Mamacita |
3.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
You Vow Me |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Live Like Jay |
12.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Can’t Touch Me |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Salute the Warrior |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Whatsyoursign |
5.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
With Every Hope |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Queen’s Haven |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Silky Lady |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Break You Half |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
Scr |
11 |
11 |
Kathy’s Day Rate |
20.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Boomtiderock |
6.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Imallaboutthatbass |
20.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Pop Tarts Princess |
4.50 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Elsie June |
30.00 |
10.5 |
20-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Lucky Lawyer Lady |
15.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
5 |
Heat My Dust |
12.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Unforgivable U |
3.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Cara Blythe |
12.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Too Much to Bear |
4.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Mighty Nice |
5.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Enterprise Value |
2.50 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Plum Gorgeous |
6.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
Scr |
7 |
6 |
Proud Dixie |
10.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Patriotic Endeavor |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
8 |
7 |
Detroit Cowboy |
4.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Five O One |
2.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Explosive Lake |
30.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Suspect a Storm |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
1A |
13 |
Primarily Gold |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
Scr |
3 |
2 |
Goods Gone West |
12.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Zonly |
50.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
Scr |
7 |
6 |
Rock City Roadhog |
2.50 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Daddy’s Gone |
30.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Bud’s Mr. B |
20.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
11 |
9 |
Glacken’s Ghost |
8.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Hank’s Alibi |
15.00 |
10.8 |
20-1 |
|
12 |
10 |
Jack Be Quick |
30.00 |
12.8 |
24-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Merilore |
5.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Misleading Lady |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Miss Mo Kelly |
3.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Hotshot Anna |
3.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Florida Bird |
30.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Adore |
2.50 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Titanium |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
Scr |
9 |
8 |
Cleverness |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Indypendent Deputy |
12.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Sizzle Factor |
8.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Crimson Frost |
3.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Remember the Alimo |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Lil Miss Blue Eyes |
4.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Will Wants Candy |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Bid List |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Superstar Bea |
5.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Chasing Cars |
6.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Hot and Ready |
30.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Essie’s Reward |
15.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Enchilada |
15.00 |
10.5 |
20-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Miss Azul |
10.00 |
10.8 |
20-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.