April 12, 2017 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Double Dose | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Majestic Lassie | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Swisher | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Daring Prospect | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Scarlet Goddess | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Hopper Dropper | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Casigordo | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Fot | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Light the Vow | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Quai Voltaire | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Frozen Angel | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Arctic Schiller | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Silver Dollar Diva | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Double Cast | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Skyline Drive | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bogulator | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | True Love Is Yare | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Parade | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | China Rider | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Pass the Dice | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lord Commander | 1.40 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Discovery | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Canada | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Erik the Red | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Picozza | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 7 | Winter Springs (FR) | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Nonna’s Boy | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2B | 12 | Motown Sound | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 8 | Frogman Mel | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Husband’s Folly | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Blue Pigeon | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | No Texting | 5.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Instant Replay | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1A | 10 | Chamois | 2.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Branded Hand | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 6 | Unbridled Ocean | 2.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 1 | Chunnel | 30.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Readthebyline | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Onecats Chance | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | All About Ashley | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Global Positioning | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Groupthink | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | John’s Island | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Myfourchix | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Summer House | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ring Knocker | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Da Wildcat Girl | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Malibu Princess | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Milaya | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Save the Tigers | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | The Intern | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dorees Giant Neal | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fun Guy | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Kyanite | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Here Comes Michael | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Cournoyer | 3.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 11 | Undercover Agent | 3.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 12 | Carson’s Klondike | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Lemon Stripes | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Outrageous Bet | 3.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Nut Nut | 4.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Ridge | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Gee’n Tee | 20.00 | 14.3 | 27-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Wintry | 20.00 | 14.3 | 27-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | See Me Coming | 20.00 | 15.5 | 29-1 | Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.