April 9, 2017 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Shackin Up | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Five Star Factor | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Phone Chick | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shoot for the Moon | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Swimsuit Issue | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dial Me | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1 | No Show Rose | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Our Girl Abby | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Paris Cruise | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 10 | Baytown Juliet | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 13 | Baytown Princess | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 6 | Morgan’s David | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Happy Like a Fool | 3.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Leaf Blower | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Brittany’s Beauty | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Trickizar | 15.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 2B | 14 | Genuwine | 30.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 2 | Boom Pow Pow | 12.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 2 | 12 | Roman Around | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Candy Lou | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Dear Elaine | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Fog Horn | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Alotta Skirt | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Romantic Vision | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Silent Ronin | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lavender Chrissie | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Im the Captain Now | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 7 | Cape Angel | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Yoshida (JPN) | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 13 | American Sea | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | County Court | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 8 | Tipsy Kitten | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Cicerone | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Sakonnet | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Any Questions | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Atta Kid | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Big Bad Zin | 8.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Heir Jordan | 50.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mistake Present | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | War Eagle’s Return | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Newfound Gold | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Harlan’s Howling | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | More Than Shirl | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Fourth of July | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tizmatized | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nifty Fifty | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Langtanz | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Swift One | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hurricane Force | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Noshackleshere | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | L T’s Best Tale | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Forty Acres | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Aztec Sense | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Start a War | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Silverdollardreams | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 15 | 15 | Heliodoro | 5.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 9 | Move the Chains | 8.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zarman | 50.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Baseballnbourbon | 10.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Key to the Bank | 12.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | The Last Prophet | 20.00 | 13.8 | 26-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Emraan | 20.00 | 14.8 | 28-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dos Cuernos | 30.00 | 15.8 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Divisidero | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Flatlined | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Pleuven (FR) | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kaigun | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Thatcher Street | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fire Away | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Projected (GB) | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Take the Stand (ARG) | 4.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Keystoneforvictory | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Divine Oath | 15.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Adena Springs Beaumont S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Treble | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Promises Broken | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Miss Chiff | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dancing Rags | 1.80 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Loretta | 1.40 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sine Wave | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Laney | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Indy Hill | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ticker Tape Parade | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hour City | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Kaliningrad | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Arklow | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pleasant Empire | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Brooklyn Bobby | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Morocco | 3.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Justice Prevails | 15.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Fireball Shot | 15.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Participation Cup | 30.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | McCormick | 8.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Indys Lil Bro | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 12 | Mascarpone | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.