April 8, 2017 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Doc Curlin | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Roy H | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Lauren’s Ladd | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | David’s Memory | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Daddy D T | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Incensed | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Conquest Superstar | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | It’s The Ice (GB) | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Force (IRE) | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ebadan (IRE) | 6.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kristi’s Copilot | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Serbian Syclone | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | K Thirty Eight | 12.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Hot Blooded Girl | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Queen Laila | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Champagne Girl | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Genithelamborghini | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Gabbiemeister | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Southern Mischief | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ramona Lover | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tim’s Girl | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Just a Little Hope | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | My Party Girl | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Cascade Kid | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Buckys Pick | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Super Duper Cooper | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kona Dreams | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Icy Street | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dog Gone Lenny | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rafter One | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Who’s Hot | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cats Blame | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Dixie Doo Run Run | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Evening Jewel S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Miss Sunset | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Radish | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cioppino Pasadino | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | You’re Late | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My California | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Starr of Quality | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | S Y Sky | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Adios Cali | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Royal Heroine S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Hillhouse High | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lady Valeur (IRE) | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mokat | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Prize Exhibit (GB) | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Charity (FR) | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Harmonize | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Pretty Girl (ARG) | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Juno (BRZ) | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Santa Anita Oaks
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Abel Tasman | 1.20 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Princess Karen | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | It Tiz Well | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mopotism | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Paradise Woods | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Majestic Quality | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bernina Star | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Plane Lucky | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Rockport Babe | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Avicii | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Brookes All Mine | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Mining Diamonds | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Jenna’s Faith | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dis Smart Cat | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Shy Carmelita | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Pica | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Santa Anita Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Kimbear | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Reach the World | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | American Anthem | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Battle of Midway | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Iliad | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Irish Freedom | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gormley | 4.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Midnight Pleasure | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Royal Mo | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Milton Freewater | 30.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Term of Art | 12.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Comma Sister | 50.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | So Conflated | 15.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Providencia S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | Princess Roi | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sircat Sally | 1.20 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | You Missed It | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Union Strike | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 6 | Emphatically | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Beau Recall (IRE) | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 4 | War Moccasin | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Tiburtina (IRE) | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Echo Eddie S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Will Tell | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Elwood J | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dr. Troutman | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | B Squared | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | California Diamond | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ninety Nine Proof | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Green With Eddie | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tribal Storm | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Hinx | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Calle Kingpin | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Ral Rue | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Go Ghetto | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Odyssey Explorer | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Street Rules | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Kitten’s Royal | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Great | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cafe Flavor | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | South Americain | 6.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | I’m Living Proof | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Taste’s Legend | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Fregosi | 6.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | This Town | 15.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tastemaker | 12.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.