April 9, 2017 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ellie Girl | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sperling | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tiz a Lady Now | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cape Diva | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fazzle Dazzle | 1.80 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Abby in Pink | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Red Fern Doll | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chicken Noodle | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Maize Road | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Eerily | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Runaway Ide | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Golden York | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jebadiah | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Need a Alibi | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Captain Payback | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Loyalist | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Conquest Perfectlu | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Since Forever | 6.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sharm | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Copper Hill | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sleepwalker | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Forest Mist | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Backlash | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | First Thought | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Asleepinchurch | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | By Golly Its a Cat | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tee Tee | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Warning Sign | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Speaker John | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | First Offer | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tanzanite | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Johnny the Jet | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hay Listen Up | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ninth Hour | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Viscosity | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jacob Rocks | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Castletown | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Buck Magic | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Montezuma Express | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Only Liquor | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wicked Rascal | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Just Economics | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Misterbulltoyou | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Bracigliano | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | How About Him | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Scott Man | 8.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Valid Decision | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | He’saruler | 3.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Sidearm | 10.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 11 | Profluent | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Nelson’s El Camino | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Port Aggregate | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bad Student | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Smiling Charlie | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flying Mr K. | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | The Lone Roo | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Snickerboxer | 2.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flowers for Lisa | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gospel Abe | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sevier | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Vandelay | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Likeitlikethat | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ellis the Red | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mo’s Mojo | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hard Scramble | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Athletic Temper | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Powerful Ally | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Anythingyoucando | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Impasse | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Arch Arch Baby | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Pageant Material | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Smelly Cat | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Por Favor | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rose to Glory | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Harlan’s Rose | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ribbon of Darkness | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | I’m Indy Havin Fun | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Quik Way Road | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Thunderupalley | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 12 | Hot Blooded Song | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Carson’s Storm | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shameful Preacher | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Trueride | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Covington | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | K J’s Nobility | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fort Given | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flagon | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bay’s Commander | 10.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Braylen | 15.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mostly Sunny | 20.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Hackashaq | 30.00 | 13.8 | 26-1 | Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.