April 9, 2017 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 5 | Playthatfunnymusic | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Station Chief | 30.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Buckwellspent | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 1 | Crowd Funding | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Driving Me Crazy | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Too Wild to Repent | 2.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Dark Roast | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Southern Gentleman | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Honorable Jonas | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Native George | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Spotty Zealous | 0.40 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Girollo | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bear Clause | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Adulator | 1.80 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Governor Malibu | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Furyofthenorsemen | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jay’s Way | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Backsideofthemoon | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gypsum Johnny | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | No Tanx Blue Chip | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | General Bellamy | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mister Monolo | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Big Al Parker | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tree Shaker | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Saratoga Sight | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Try Flying | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Storm the Shore | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Distaff H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Clipthecouponannie | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tale for Ruby | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Indulgent | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Highway Star | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Carrumba | 1.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kelsocait | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bartleby | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bobby Fab | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 10 | Sicilia Mike | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Incorporate | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Blame the Thief | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zonic | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Broken Engagement | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hoboe | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | My Boy Tate | 4.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | One Mo Chance | 3.50 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wondermeister | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Polar Jet | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Margarita Sunrise | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mischievous Dan | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ten Twenty Nine | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Valhalla | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Breeze Burner | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Italian Syndicate | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Danger’s Hour S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Gold Shield | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Catapult | 1.40 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Eirigh | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Edge of Reality | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Il Segreto (FR) | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Greenpointcrusader | 1.20 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Cage Fighter | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Macagone | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Miss Sizzle | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | My Girl Annie | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Driven by Speed | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Might Be | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wanna Be Regal | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Barbie On a Budget | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Bug | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Frost Wise | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Holiday Disguise | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Belle of the Spa | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tizza Temper | 12.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.