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Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for April 7, 2017

April 7, 2017 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Arch Or Nothing 12.00 2 4-1
6 5 Hold On Momma 3.00 2 4-1
3 2 Storm Petrel 3.50 3.8 7-1
4 3 Quasney’s Angel 20.00 3.8 7-1
5 4 Madam Aamoura 1.60 4 8-1
2 2 Milaya 5.00 5.5 10-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Samadi Sky 2.50 1.3 2-1
3 2 Riff Raff 15.00 3 6-1
1 3 Spooked Out 3.50 3.3 6-1
1A 6 We Did 3.50 3.8 7-1 Scr
2 1 Celtic Chaos 1.20 4 8-1
4 4 True Bet 5.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Northern Screamer 4.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Stroke Play 2.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 Kate Is a Ten 2.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Lil Renegade 20.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Ducasa 5.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Can Can Babe 6.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 My Won Love 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Readyheartandsoul 5.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 H Man 3.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 Taoiseach 2.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 Curious Cal 1.60 3.3 6-1
1 1 Pegasus Red 8.00 5 9-1
5 5 Chosen One Elijah 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Midnight Bounty 2.50 1.3 2-1
3 3 Abounding Spirit 3.50 3 6-1
1 1 Perina’s Pride 12.00 3 6-1
7 7 Glotona Again 6.00 4 8-1
5 5 Spa Town Parade 30.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Mastic 2.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Loyal Heart 8.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Metaurus 10.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Are We Not Men 2.00 2.5 5-1
6 5 Banner Bill 5.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 The Catmancan 3.50 3.5 7-1
5 5 Skill Not Luck 5.00 5 9-1 Scr
4 4 To the Victor 4.00 6 11-1
7 6 Mighty One 30.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 3 Your Secret’s Safe 3.00 2 4-1
3 2 Seat of Honor 6.00 2 4-1
8 6 Donwell 2.50 3.3 6-1
5 5 Romanus 15.00 4 8-1 Scr
7 5 Into the Breach 5.00 4.8 9-1
6 4 California Swing 3.50 5.3 10-1
2 1 Spring On Curlin 10.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Ollysilverexpress 50.00 8 15-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 6 Hot City Girl 1.60 1 2-1
3 3 Absatootly 3.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Play Me a Memory 15.00 3 6-1
2 2 Jc’s Shooting Star 6.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Flatterywillgetyou 3.50 4.5 9-1
5 5 Jet Majesty 5.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
11 12 Sassy Affair 8.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Judgement Free 3.50 2.8 5-1
6 6 Anna Theresa 15.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Lynnie B 2.00 4 8-1
2 1 Catania Rose 20.00 5.5 10-1
1A 11 Flatterfly 5.00 6 11-1
3 2 Anna Liffey 50.00 7.5 14-1
1 4 Scatter Point 5.00 7.8 15-1
10 10 Miss Meadowbrook 12.00 7.8 15-1
5 5 Ben and Jiggy’s 6.00 8.8 17-1
4 3 Empossebility 30.00 11 21-1
7 7 Utopian Flag 15.00 11.3 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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