April 2, 2017 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Liberation | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Heat | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Magic Miracle | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tina’s Exchange | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Insubordination | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Oregon | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Harbored Affair | 0.40 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Only in the Movies | 30.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | She’s Movin On | 30.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Silver Oak | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Seaquet | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Aurelius | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Avaudrey | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tiz Indy | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Marchtothemusic | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Man Chuckles | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hoppitty | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Baroque | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Here Comes Autism | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | High Class Taste | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Calibraska | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Last Shot | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Red Car Mac | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Fishel | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Elegant Street | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | El Super | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Moonman | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Oso | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mercer Island | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Taima the Hawk | 2.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Long Game | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Colonist | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Union Rebel | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sergio | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Divisor | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Liberty Park | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Psychedelicat | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tally Mo | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Haskin | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Malibu Music | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | California Cajun | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Crafty Cowboy | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Take City by Storm | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Supreme Giant | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 5 | Raindance Rules | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Blow My Mind | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Artistic Ab | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 2 | Huguito | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Singaprayer | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tiz a Billy | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Stormy Rocit | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Forest Chatter | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hollywood Don | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Eddie Haskell | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Eric the Trojan | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Barhanpour (FR) | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | No Silent | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Patriots Rule | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Poshsky | 6.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | McHeat | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Tokyo City Cup S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Infobedad (ARG) | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hard Aces | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Big John B | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hi Happy (ARG) | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Irish Surf | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Beach View | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Go On Mary | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mistressofthenight | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Yuvetsi | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Storm the Hill | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Lady Beware (IRE) | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Grand Prix | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Spy Ring (IRE) | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mo’vette | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Pellucid (GB) | 5.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dreamy Gal (IRE) | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mischievous Champ | 8.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Kencho | 8.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.