April 2, 2017 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Knockit Off | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sir Tiz | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hoodue | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rare Rose Royce | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Carmens Catcher | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gator Tough | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cha Cha Charlie | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dealer’s Etbauer | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Halos Prayer | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Alzanbaq | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Vokazak | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Inspire Courage | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sure Can Do | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bandini Moon | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Caleb Hawk | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Out of the Trappe | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Glory Kingdom | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mr. Nine Five Four | 50.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Freakonthelead | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Warrior’s Kid | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Box Knife | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Moonlight | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Private Time | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Oak | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hembree | 2.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Devil’s Teeth | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Hancock County | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 9 | Coteau Kid | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | El’s Intoit | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pioneering Native | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Udoknowjack | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Red White and Guru | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | No Rules Now | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Fist Full | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Freddie One Bite | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shedrow Cocktails | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 10 | Woodmans Luck | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Plug Catcher | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pioneer Tiger | 50.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 4 | Full Metal | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 7 | Forget the Name | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Call Me West | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Secret Wonder | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sly Tom | 3.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 9 | Quiet Seduction | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 10 | A He’s an O’Prado | 6.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 2B | 8 | Russian Partisan | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 12 | Man of Strife | 12.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Mike’s Treasure | 50.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Appoint Me King | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Cascade Indian | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Ride | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Classic Greeley | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Recreational Use | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Firedupreadytogo | 50.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 11 | Gentleman’s Prize | 4.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Double Down Mike | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Highschooldropout | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Rail’s Genuine Boy | 10.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Spasini | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Patriot Drive | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Man Jax | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Flat Bush Four | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Big Exchange | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | His Royal Majesty | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Estragon | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mizztic Tale | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 9 | Wildcat Saint | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Thorn Hill Cat | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Silver Star Ranger | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 8 | Pacific Pink | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 6 | Calamity Jane | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kinky Vow | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Flowersforlady | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dixie Brees | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Safari Calamari | 3.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Indian Wind | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Teelfa | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Half Fast Rose | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mad Heiress | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tap City Baby | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Star Guitar S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mageez | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Watch My Smoke | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Grande Basin | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Grit | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Just Stormin | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sir Genghis | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Finishlikeapro | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jeff and J’s Dream | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Persuade Me Lady | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 10 | Vow of Secrecy | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Fancy Madelyn | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Elegant Idea | 30.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Active Runner | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hot Yankee | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Half a Million | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Rose’s Asset | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 8 | Sibling War | 5.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Gee Whiz Lil | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Jackie Ems Pal | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Aunt Nellie | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Coteau Jozi | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Starnilla | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Miss Ruby’s Legacy | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Spirit of a Cat | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Pocket Time | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Parkers Nite Out | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Alaina’s Half Ours | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Miso Smooth | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Sorcerer’s Appeal | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rosada’s Rose | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Wild Mimosas | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Shatorah | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Noisey Boy | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Honest Oath | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Pure Bingo | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 4 | Fiddlers Farewell | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Last Flash | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pancho’s Lucky Boy | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Zar’s Star | 3.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 5 | Whistling Ranger | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stack a Lee | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Coxswain | 3.50 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Darien’s Secret | 50.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 13 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Platinum Kitty | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Madame Begue | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Infinite Verses | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Reckless Girl | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bella Capelli | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | High Heeled | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Anytime Baby | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cajun English | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | The Thrill Is On | 3.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Frankie’s Touch | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Cleverius | 50.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Syrup Cake | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 14 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Very Elegant | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Afterimage | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Miss Mississippi | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Carmens Good Karma | 30.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Valiant Vixen | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Queezee Proud | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Ballado Ballet | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Unbridledagain | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Charley’s Smile | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Dreams to Remember | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Champagne Teardrop | 50.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bettyblue | 15.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Court the Storm | 12.00 | 11 | 21-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Fund Girl | 50.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.