March 30, 2017 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Melbas Indian | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Skin Deep | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | New Orleans Spice | 1.20 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Just Cruising | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lucky Band | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Laine’s Song | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Racy | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 2
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ironclad | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Treasury Bill | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Claymaker | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Candir | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Mending Fences | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Abtaal | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | King Ptolemy | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Consultation | 4.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | She’s Got the Mojo | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Tiz a Party | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Smartfromthegitgo | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Charm the Lute | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | E. T. Lane | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 10 | Fancy Pants Jen | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | River Walk | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kitty’s Argument | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Codas Lady | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Brittany’s Bunny | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sadie Marie | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Chase Rodney Will | 50.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 6 | Dutchman | 0.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mikey’s Mouse | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 5 | A Higher Wager | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Heavenly Gem | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mr Heartbreakhotel | 50.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 8 | Two Cents | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Great Wit | 3.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Speedy Chorde | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pear Shaped Munro | 30.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Felonious Friend | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 3 | Pink Bubble | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Just Like Lucy | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Whispering Justice | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Break Away | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Moment of Grace | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Best Guess | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | One Sharp Lady | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Finger Candy | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Conspice | 20.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 7 | Scatmeifucan | 4.50 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Too Dim | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Malachite | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | One Grand King | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lukie Joe | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Zarby’s Derby Day | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | War Threat | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ashley’s London | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Aaron of Goshen | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ollie Baby | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dixie Beat | 30.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Why Wear Old Shoes | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Northwoods Cat | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 5 | Dark Arden | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Red Fern | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | On a Heater | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Out of the Office | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Running Back | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Odyssey | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 1 | Well Off | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Caniform | 3.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 7 | Walker’s Way | 4.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Silent Drifter | 4.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fast Factor | 12.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Goldenmeyer | 20.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 8
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 11 | Pep Rally Princess | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Timebobanna | 30.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Giant Cruiser | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mr. Green Girl | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Purple Parrot | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Duenay | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Forgotten | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spicy Afleet | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 9 | Net’s All N | 4.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sangria Wine | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Kondo Queen | 10.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Thegoodwitch | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Watch Your Six | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Princess Lu Lu | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Wild About Star | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Deer Valley | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Whole Scoop | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Taleoftheprincess | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Tricky One | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Jo Jo’s Wine | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Rach’slastscarf | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mia Bella Rossa | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Summer Singer | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chandler’s Tribute | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 9 | Cypress Cat | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Andyouroldladytoo | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zenucci | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sergeant Hunter | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Coast Guard Kid | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Last Port | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Twenty Glitters | 30.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | La Clever | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | McGinty | 4.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Cool Production | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.